ATP tennis predict — Andre Ilagan vs Edas Butvilas

Challenger Hard Lexington challenger · F 19:00

Predicted probability

Andre Ilagan

USA

56.40%

Edas Butvilas

Lithuania

43.60%

Average Odds

2.53 / 1.48

Market probability

36.91% / 63.09%

Why This Prediction?

Andre Ilagan is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1721 vs 1548), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1710 vs 1624) and a better head-to-head record against Edas Butvilas (1-0).

Player Comparison

1721.1 Elo 1547.6

1709.7 Elo (surface) 1623.5

79 Wins (Challenger) 83

76 Wins (surface) 62

10 Last 15 form 10

1 Head-to-head wins 0

0.968 Dominance ratio 0.971

243 Rank 268

25.7 Age 22.0

left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Andre Ilagan

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–2L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 5W–1L · 83.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 6W–8L · 42.9%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

32 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Edas Butvilas

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–6L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Andre Ilagan Edas Butvilas

1st Serve In %

59.5%

62.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

63.0%

74.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.0%

50.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.1%

28.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

41.8%

49.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.44

0.56

Double Faults per Service Game

0.23

0.11

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

58.5%

61.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.6%

67.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

56.0%

48.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

34.1%

29.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.2%

48.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.73

0.30

Double Faults per Service Game

0.29

0.33

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Andre Ilagan Edas Butvilas

Break Points Saved %

61.8%

51.6%

Break Points Converted %

30.0%

36.5%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

53.5%

55.6%

Break Points Converted %

34.7%

46.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Andre Ilagan 1 – 0 Edas Butvilas

Hard Lexington challenger · 2026-08-09

F

Edas Butvilas #268

Andre Ilagan #243

6-2 1-6 7-6

5 Aces 13

3 Double Faults 4

89 Service Points 91

61 First Serve In 48

42 First Serve Won 37

16 Second Serve Won 23

6 Break Points Saved 4

8 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.5 Average Odds 2.5

Hard Tyler challenger · 2026-06-04

R16

Andre Ilagan #335

Edas Butvilas #232

6-3 6-4

6 Aces 5

2 Double Faults 1

53 Service Points 63

22 First Serve In 41

15 First Serve Won 31

16 Second Serve Won 10

0 Break Points Saved 3

4 Break Points Faced 4

16 Winners 21

29 Unforced Errors 24

2.5 Average Odds 1.5

Andre Ilagan vs Edas Butvilas — Prediction