ATP tennis predict — Andre Ilagan vs Bernard Tomic

Challenger Hard Brownsburg challenger · R16 02:40

Predicted probability

Andre Ilagan

USA

50.11%

Bernard Tomic

Australia

49.89%

Average Odds

2.20 / 1.58

Market probability

41.80% / 58.20%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1709.1 Elo 1691.4

1701.9 Elo (surface) 1665.7

80 Wins (Challenger) 152

77 Wins (surface) 119

9 Last 15 form 10

0 Head-to-head wins 1

0.945 Dominance ratio 1.014

243 Rank 160

25.7 Age 33.8

left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Andre Ilagan

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–2L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 5W–1L · 83.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 6W–8L · 42.9%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

32 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Bernard Tomic

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–1L · 83.3%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 9W–4L · 69.2%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–8L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

35 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Andre Ilagan Bernard Tomic

1st Serve In %

59.5%

57.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

63.0%

67.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.0%

46.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.1%

26.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

41.8%

45.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.44

0.54

Double Faults per Service Game

0.23

0.25

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

58.5%

60.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.6%

74.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

56.0%

46.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

34.1%

33.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.2%

54.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.73

0.83

Double Faults per Service Game

0.29

0.14

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Andre Ilagan Bernard Tomic

Break Points Saved %

61.8%

55.9%

Break Points Converted %

30.0%

45.3%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

53.5%

70.5%

Break Points Converted %

34.7%

40.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Andre Ilagan 0 – 1 Bernard Tomic

Hard Brownsburg challenger · 2026-08-14

R16

Andre Ilagan #243

Bernard Tomic #160

-

- Aces -

- Double Faults -

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

- First Serve Won -

- Second Serve Won -

- Break Points Saved -

- Break Points Faced -

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.2 Average Odds 1.6

Hard Calgary CH · 2024-10-14

R16

Bernard Tomic #207

Andre Ilagan #392

6-3 6-2

2 Aces 2

0 Double Faults 6

52 Service Points 48

29 First Serve In 24

21 First Serve Won 12

18 Second Serve Won 13

3 Break Points Saved 4

3 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Andre Ilagan vs Bernard Tomic — Prediction