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Andre Ilagan vs Andres Martin — Prediction

Challenger Hard Brownsburg challenger · 1. round 16:10

Predicted probability

Andre Ilagan

USA

50.79%

Andres Martin

USA

49.21%

Average Odds

1.93  /  1.78

Market probability

47.98%  /  52.02%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1696.2 Elo 1611.8
1688.3 Elo (surface) 1615.2
79 Wins (Challenger) 61
76 Wins (surface) 53
9 Last 15 form 8
1 Head-to-head wins 1
0.936 Dominance ratio 1.044
243 Rank 340
25.7 Age 25.1
left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Andre Ilagan

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–2L · 75.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 5W–1L · 83.3%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 6W–8L · 42.9%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

32 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Andres Martin

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–1L · 80.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–4L · 50.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–3L · 40.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Andre Ilagan Andres Martin

1st Serve In %

59.5%
56.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

63.0%
64.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.0%
41.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.1%
31.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

41.8%
51.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.44
0.35

Double Faults per Service Game

0.23
0.28

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

58.5%
60.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.6%
68.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

56.0%
44.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

34.1%
33.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.2%
50.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.73
0.25

Double Faults per Service Game

0.29
0.22

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Andre Ilagan Andres Martin

Break Points Saved %

61.8%
56.0%

Break Points Converted %

30.0%
32.3%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

53.5%
52.0%

Break Points Converted %

34.7%
40.5%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Andre Ilagan 1 – 1 Andres Martin

Hard Brownsburg challenger · 2026-08-11

1. round

Andre Ilagan #243

Andres Martin #340

2-6 6-4 6-3
3 Aces 9
0 Double Faults 4
75 Service Points 82
52 First Serve In 45
31 First Serve Won 33
12 Second Serve Won 14
1 Break Points Saved 4
5 Break Points Faced 9
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
1.9 Average Odds 1.8
Hard Cleveland CH · 2026-02-02

R32

Andres Martin #274

Andre Ilagan #346

7-6(7) 3-6 7-5
11 Aces 6
6 Double Faults 3
124 Service Points 120
85 First Serve In 81
61 First Serve Won 53
12 Second Serve Won 19
6 Break Points Saved 9
11 Break Points Faced 14
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -
Hard Lincoln CH · 2025-10-13

R16

Andre Ilagan #359

Andres Martin #290

7-6(1) 6-2
4 Aces 6
4 Double Faults 3
75 Service Points 70
44 First Serve In 40
28 First Serve Won 23
17 Second Serve Won 12
8 Break Points Saved 6
10 Break Points Faced 10
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -

Andre Ilagan — Last 10

L L L W W L W W W L

Andres Martin — Last 10

L L W W L W L W W W