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Anders Matta vs Thiago Cigarran — Prediction

Challenger Clay Antofagasta challenger · qualification - 1. round 19:30

Predicted probability

Anders Matta

USA

38.18%

Thiago Cigarran

Argentina

61.82%

Average Odds

8.67  /  1.03

Market probability

10.62%  /  89.38%

Why This Prediction?

Thiago Cigarran is the favorite because he has better recent form (8 wins in his last 15 matches vs 1), more wins on clay courts (17 vs 1) and a stronger serve (61.0% vs 54.6% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1427.8 Elo 1430.9
1486.0 Elo (surface) 1438.1
1 Wins (Challenger) 17
1 Wins (surface) 17
1 Last 15 form 8
0 Head-to-head wins 0
0.973 Dominance ratio 1.033
- Rank 617
24.1 Age 26.5
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Anders Matta

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

No market odds recorded for this player yet.

Thiago Cigarran

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

8 matches with market odds since 2026-06-08.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Anders Matta Thiago Cigarran

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

1st Serve In %

59.8%
65.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

51.4%
66.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

40.3%
52.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

18.8%
32.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

43.8%
50.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.12
0.16

Double Faults per Service Game

0.48
0.27

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Anders Matta Thiago Cigarran

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

Break Points Saved %

44.4%
57.5%

Break Points Converted %

50.0%
45.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Anders Matta and Thiago Cigarran have never played each other.

Anders Matta — Last 4

L L L W

Thiago Cigarran — Last 10

L W L L W W L L W L