ATP tennis predict — Amit Vales vs Johan Nikles

Challenger Clay Bonn challenger · qualification - 1. round

Predicted probability

Amit Vales

Israel

51.95%

Johan Nikles

Switzerland

48.05%

Average Odds

3.13 / 1.32

Market probability

29.66% / 70.34%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1513.1 Elo 1515.5

1458.6 Elo (surface) 1553.4

12 Wins (Challenger) 53

2 Wins (surface) 45

8 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.164 Dominance ratio 1.001

680 Rank 412

21.1 Age 29.3

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Amit Vales

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-06-28.

Johan Nikles

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–4L · 20.0%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-06-07.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Amit Vales Johan Nikles

1st Serve In %

—

60.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

58.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

48.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

30.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

50.6%

Aces per Service Game

—

0.10

Double Faults per Service Game

—

0.25

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

56.1%

61.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

66.2%

69.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.3%

45.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.9%

42.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.3%

55.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.28

0.18

Double Faults per Service Game

0.30

0.21

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Amit Vales Johan Nikles

Break Points Saved %

—

57.0%

Break Points Converted %

—

41.1%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

61.9%

60.0%

Break Points Converted %

47.1%

51.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Amit Vales 0 – 0 Johan Nikles

Clay Bonn challenger · 2026-07-26

qualification - 1. round

Johan Nikles #441

Amit Vales #574

6-2 7-5

2 Aces 1

4 Double Faults 1

63 Service Points 80

32 First Serve In 48

17 First Serve Won 32

16 Second Serve Won 15

5 Break Points Saved 6

10 Break Points Faced 8

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.3 Average Odds 3.1

Amit Vales vs Johan Nikles — Prediction