ATP tennis predict — Amit Vales vs Ignacio Parisca

Challenger Clay Plovdiv 3 challenger · qualification - round of 16 09:30

Predicted probability

Amit Vales

Israel

55.82%

Ignacio Parisca

Venezuela

44.18%

Average Odds

2.49 / 1.48

Market probability

37.28% / 62.72%

Why This Prediction?

Amit Vales is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1548 vs 1467), more career match wins (16 vs 4) and a stronger serve (58.0% vs 55.5% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1547.7 Elo 1467.3

1479.7 Elo (surface) 1494.7

16 Wins (Challenger) 4

3 Wins (surface) 4

9 Last 15 form 4

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.025 Dominance ratio 0.965

598 Rank 721

21.2 Age 21.0

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Amit Vales

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-06-28.

Ignacio Parisca

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

7 matches with market odds since 2026-06-15.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Amit Vales Ignacio Parisca

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

1st Serve In %

56.1%

64.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

66.2%

62.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.3%

41.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.9%

33.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.3%

45.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.28

0.17

Double Faults per Service Game

0.30

0.26

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Amit Vales Ignacio Parisca

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

Break Points Saved %

61.9%

38.9%

Break Points Converted %

47.1%

39.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Amit Vales 0 – 0 Ignacio Parisca

Clay Plovdiv 3 challenger · 2026-08-31

qualification - round of 16

Ignacio Parisca #721

Amit Vales #598

6-7 6-4 6-2

5 Aces 1

5 Double Faults 3

120 Service Points 102

71 First Serve In 57

49 First Serve Won 38

21 Second Serve Won 30

4 Break Points Saved 4

8 Break Points Faced 5

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.5 Average Odds 2.5

Amit Vales vs Ignacio Parisca — Prediction