ATP tennis predict — Amit Vales vs Daniil Glinka

Challenger Hard Grodzisk Mazowiecki challenger · R16 11:35

Predicted probability

Amit Vales

Israel

34.41%

Daniil Glinka

Estonia

65.59%

Average Odds

1.27 / 3.57

Market probability

73.76% / 26.24%

Why This Prediction?

Daniil Glinka is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1626 vs 1564), a higher Elo rating (1591 vs 1546) and more wins on hard courts (2 vs 0).

Player Comparison

1545.9 Elo 1591.0

1564.4 Elo (surface) 1626.2

15 Wins (Challenger) 73

9 Wins (surface) 67

9 Last 15 form 7

0 Head-to-head wins 1

1.020 Dominance ratio 1.155

166 Rank 679

26.2 Age 21.2

left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Amit Vales

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-06-28.

Daniil Glinka

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 8W–3L · 72.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

25 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Amit Vales Daniil Glinka

1st Serve In %

—

61.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

71.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

47.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

23.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

44.1%

Aces per Service Game

—

0.50

Double Faults per Service Game

—

0.32

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

56.1%

65.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

66.2%

68.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.3%

51.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.9%

35.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.3%

51.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.28

0.38

Double Faults per Service Game

0.30

0.22

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Amit Vales Daniil Glinka

Break Points Saved %

—

60.0%

Break Points Converted %

—

42.9%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

61.9%

54.2%

Break Points Converted %

47.1%

41.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Amit Vales 0 – 1 Daniil Glinka

Hard Grodzisk Mazowiecki challenger · 2026-08-05

R16

Daniil Glinka #166

Amit Vales #679

7-5 1-6 6-4

4 Aces 13

5 Double Faults 6

87 Service Points 99

48 First Serve In 51

32 First Serve Won 44

23 Second Serve Won 21

5 Break Points Saved 10

8 Break Points Faced 14

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

3.6 Average Odds 1.3

Hard Grodzisk Mazowiecki CH · 2025-08-04

Q2

Daniil Glinka #374

Amit Vales #873

6-1 6-4

5 Aces 2

0 Double Faults 1

58 Service Points 51

38 First Serve In 29

27 First Serve Won 19

13 Second Serve Won 9

0 Break Points Saved 2

0 Break Points Faced 5

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Amit Vales vs Daniil Glinka — Prediction