ATP tennis predict — Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Max Schoenhaus

Challenger Clay Como challenger · 1. round 13:00

Predicted probability

Alvaro Guillen Meza

Ecuador

46.25%

Max Schoenhaus

Germany

53.75%

Average Odds

2.68 / 1.42

Market probability

34.63% / 65.37%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1536.7 Elo 1521.5

1567.0 Elo (surface) 1540.2

86 Wins (Challenger) 11

85 Wins (surface) 8

4 Last 15 form 7

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.081 Dominance ratio 0.973

285 Rank 318

23.7 Age 19.1

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Alvaro Guillen Meza

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–5L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

13 matches with market odds since 2026-06-11.

Max Schoenhaus

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–6L · 40.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

19 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Alvaro Guillen Meza Max Schoenhaus

1st Serve In %

74.3%

60.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

64.3%

72.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.3%

53.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

37.7%

29.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.6%

46.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.17

0.47

Double Faults per Service Game

0.27

0.32

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

66.4%

61.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.4%

66.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.4%

47.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

36.1%

27.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.0%

45.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.29

0.53

Double Faults per Service Game

0.23

0.20

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Alvaro Guillen Meza Max Schoenhaus

Break Points Saved %

59.6%

74.4%

Break Points Converted %

37.5%

30.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

72.5%

53.3%

Break Points Converted %

46.2%

37.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Alvaro Guillen Meza 0 – 0 Max Schoenhaus

Clay Como challenger · 2026-08-31

1. round

Max Schoenhaus #318

Alvaro Guillen Meza #285

6-2 6-7 6-1

2 Aces 9

4 Double Faults 1

98 Service Points 93

74 First Serve In 59

45 First Serve Won 47

8 Second Serve Won 19

9 Break Points Saved 6

14 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.4 Average Odds 2.7

Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Max Schoenhaus — Prediction