ATP tennis predict — Alibek Kachmazov vs Omar Jasika

Challenger Hard Wuning 3 challenger · SF 06:30

Predicted probability

Alibek Kachmazov

Russia

61.95%

Omar Jasika

Australia

38.05%

Average Odds

1.43 / 2.68

Market probability

65.21% / 34.79%

Why This Prediction?

Alibek Kachmazov is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1631 vs 1535), a higher Elo rating (1626 vs 1543) and better recent form (5 wins in his last 15 matches vs 3).

Player Comparison

1626.4 Elo 1543.3

1630.6 Elo (surface) 1534.8

99 Wins (Challenger) 115

87 Wins (surface) 112

7 Last 15 form 9

1 Head-to-head wins 1

0.852 Dominance ratio 1.182

525 Rank 422

24.2 Age 29.4

right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Alibek Kachmazov

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

7 matches with market odds since 2026-08-09.

Omar Jasika

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

14 matches with market odds since 2026-08-30.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Alibek Kachmazov Omar Jasika

1st Serve In %

58.1%

68.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.7%

55.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

54.0%

40.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.2%

25.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.5%

49.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.46

0.18

Double Faults per Service Game

0.33

0.26

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.8%

78.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.7%

75.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.1%

65.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.7%

36.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

43.8%

65.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.50

0.16

Double Faults per Service Game

0.23

0.09

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Alibek Kachmazov Omar Jasika

Break Points Saved %

65.3%

43.0%

Break Points Converted %

41.3%

26.8%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

60.6%

51.4%

Break Points Converted %

42.9%

51.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Alibek Kachmazov 1 – 1 Omar Jasika

Hard Gwangju CH · 2025-04-21

QF

Alibek Kachmazov #185

Omar Jasika #211

6-4 6-2

3 Aces 0

3 Double Faults 1

66 Service Points 50

33 First Serve In 31

18 First Serve Won 19

22 Second Serve Won 7

2 Break Points Saved 1

3 Break Points Faced 5

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Hard Porto CH · 2022-07-04

Q2

Omar Jasika #429

Alibek Kachmazov #370

6-2 6-1

4 Aces 2

2 Double Faults 1

47 Service Points 36

35 First Serve In 17

24 First Serve Won 9

6 Second Serve Won 3

4 Break Points Saved 2

6 Break Points Faced 8