ATP tennis predict — Alibek Kachmazov vs Grigoriy Lomakin

Challenger Hard Wuning 3 challenger · qualification - round of 16 04:10

Predicted probability

Alibek Kachmazov

Russia

81.13%

Grigoriy Lomakin

Kazakhstan

18.87%

Average Odds

1.05 / 8.05

Market probability

88.46% / 11.54%

Why This Prediction?

Alibek Kachmazov is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1586 vs 1363), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1588 vs 1400) and more wins on hard courts (84 vs 14).

Player Comparison

1585.9 Elo 1362.8

1588.3 Elo (surface) 1400.2

96 Wins (Challenger) 16

84 Wins (surface) 14

6 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.852 Dominance ratio 0.832

613 Rank 857

24.1 Age 28.6

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Alibek Kachmazov

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

4 matches with market odds since 2026-08-09.

Grigoriy Lomakin

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

7 matches with market odds since 2026-07-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Alibek Kachmazov Grigoriy Lomakin

1st Serve In %

58.1%

74.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.7%

60.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

54.0%

41.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.2%

12.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.5%

33.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.46

0.35

Double Faults per Service Game

0.33

0.00

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

58.4%

64.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.7%

63.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.0%

44.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.4%

28.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.8%

47.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.54

0.32

Double Faults per Service Game

0.30

0.35

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Alibek Kachmazov Grigoriy Lomakin

Break Points Saved %

65.3%

25.0%

Break Points Converted %

41.3%

0.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

57.8%

53.6%

Break Points Converted %

35.7%

44.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Alibek Kachmazov and Grigoriy Lomakin have never played each other.

Alibek Kachmazov vs Grigoriy Lomakin — Prediction