ATP tennis predict — Alibek Kachmazov vs Gabriel Ghetu

Challenger Hard Istanbul challenger · qualification - round of 16 10:30

Predicted probability

Alibek Kachmazov

Russia

52.45%

Gabriel Ghetu

Romania

47.55%

Average Odds

1.80 / 1.93

Market probability

51.74% / 48.26%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1442.4 Elo 1491.4

1432.7 Elo (surface) 1658.5

95 Wins (Challenger) 3

83 Wins (surface) 1

6 Last 15 form 3

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.880 Dominance ratio 0.682

822 Rank 625

24.1 Age 18.8

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Alibek Kachmazov

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

3 matches with market odds since 2026-08-09.

Gabriel Ghetu

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

8 matches with market odds since 2026-06-22.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Alibek Kachmazov Gabriel Ghetu

1st Serve In %

58.1%

51.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.7%

45.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

54.0%

48.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.2%

32.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.5%

58.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.46

0.10

Double Faults per Service Game

0.33

0.30

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

58.2%

53.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.3%

61.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

44.7%

47.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.4%

31.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.4%

50.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.53

0.08

Double Faults per Service Game

0.37

0.29

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Alibek Kachmazov Gabriel Ghetu

Break Points Saved %

65.3%

25.0%

Break Points Converted %

41.3%

42.9%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

58.0%

46.9%

Break Points Converted %

32.4%

39.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Alibek Kachmazov 0 – 0 Gabriel Ghetu

Hard Istanbul challenger · 2026-09-07

qualification - round of 16

Gabriel Ghetu #625

Alibek Kachmazov #822

7-6 2-6 6-4

2 Aces 0

3 Double Faults 2

97 Service Points 115

42 First Serve In 85

30 First Serve Won 52

30 Second Serve Won 15

2 Break Points Saved 14

5 Break Points Faced 18

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.9 Average Odds 1.8

Alibek Kachmazov vs Gabriel Ghetu — Prediction