ATP tennis predict — Alibek Kachmazov vs Charles Broom

Challenger Hard Wuning 3 challenger · 1. round 11:15

Predicted probability

Alibek Kachmazov

Russia

40.98%

Charles Broom

Great Britain

59.02%

Average Odds

1.88 / 1.84

Market probability

49.46% / 50.54%

Why This Prediction?

Charles Broom is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1716 vs 1592), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1680 vs 1596) and a stronger return game (36.4% vs 34.8% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1592.3 Elo 1715.6

1596.1 Elo (surface) 1679.9

97 Wins (Challenger) 78

85 Wins (surface) 59

6 Last 15 form 10

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.852 Dominance ratio 0.956

525 Rank 268

24.1 Age 28.4

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Alibek Kachmazov

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

5 matches with market odds since 2026-08-09.

Charles Broom

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 6W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

20 matches with market odds since 2026-05-31.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Alibek Kachmazov Charles Broom

1st Serve In %

58.1%

62.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.7%

66.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

54.0%

44.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.2%

29.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.5%

50.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.46

0.38

Double Faults per Service Game

0.33

0.31

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

59.2%

64.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.2%

66.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.9%

54.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.4%

29.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.7%

47.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.53

0.49

Double Faults per Service Game

0.27

0.20

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Alibek Kachmazov Charles Broom

Break Points Saved %

65.3%

60.2%

Break Points Converted %

41.3%

32.5%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

58.3%

63.9%

Break Points Converted %

42.2%

28.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Alibek Kachmazov and Charles Broom have never played each other.

Alibek Kachmazov vs Charles Broom — Prediction