ATP tennis predict — Alexis Gautier vs Alec Deckers

Challenger Hard Roehampton 2 challenger · qualification - round of 16 13:30

Predicted probability

Alexis Gautier

France

29.09%

Alec Deckers

Netherlands

70.91%

Average Odds

3.43 / 1.28

Market probability

27.18% / 72.82%

Why This Prediction?

Alec Deckers is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1545 vs 1419), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1523 vs 1397) and fewer double faults per game (0.17 vs 0.28).

Player Comparison

1419.1 Elo 1545.5

1397.1 Elo (surface) 1523.1

41 Wins (Challenger) 12

21 Wins (surface) 6

6 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.743 Dominance ratio 0.793

800 Rank 585

29.4 Age 26.3

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Alexis Gautier

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

3 matches with market odds since 2026-08-16.

Alec Deckers

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–4L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

14 matches with market odds since 2026-06-06.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Alexis Gautier Alec Deckers

1st Serve In %

39.5%

57.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

46.7%

75.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

17.4%

48.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.6%

21.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

30.4%

41.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.29

0.85

Double Faults per Service Game

0.43

0.15

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

59.1%

58.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

73.3%

75.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.0%

47.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

24.8%

24.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.6%

49.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.66

0.79

Double Faults per Service Game

0.22

0.32

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Alexis Gautier Alec Deckers

Break Points Saved %

25.0%

61.5%

Break Points Converted %

20.0%

30.8%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

67.2%

68.5%

Break Points Converted %

28.0%

39.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Alexis Gautier 0 – 0 Alec Deckers

Hard Roehampton 2 challenger · 2026-08-24

qualification - round of 16

Alec Deckers #558

Alexis Gautier #788

6-4 7-6

8 Aces 11

2 Double Faults 1

94 Service Points 68

60 First Serve In 39

40 First Serve Won 32

15 Second Serve Won 16

7 Break Points Saved 2

9 Break Points Faced 3

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.3 Average Odds 3.4

Alexis Gautier vs Alec Deckers — Prediction