ATP tennis predict — Alexis Galarneau vs Vit Kopriva

ATP Hard Montreal · 1. round

Predicted probability

Alexis Galarneau

Canada

56.32%

Vit Kopriva

Czech Republic

43.68%

Average Odds

1.85 / 1.94

Market probability

51.19% / 48.81%

Why This Prediction?

Alexis Galarneau is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1613 vs 1518), more wins on hard courts (163 vs 37) and the advantage of playing in his home country.

Player Comparison

1653.2 Elo 1701.2

1613.2 Elo (surface) 1518.5

15 Wins 68

9 Wins (surface) 20

8 Last 15 form 7

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.904 Dominance ratio 1.002

167 Rank 70

27.4 Age 29.1

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Alexis Galarneau

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 7W–2L · 77.8%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–6L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

25 matches with market odds since 2026-05-31.

Vit Kopriva

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–5L · 16.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Alexis Galarneau Vit Kopriva

1st Serve In %

62.6%

59.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.6%

69.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.5%

51.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.7%

26.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.6%

53.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.65

0.51

Double Faults per Service Game

0.20

0.27

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

56.8%

60.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.8%

67.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.4%

53.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

23.8%

33.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.5%

50.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.52

0.43

Double Faults per Service Game

0.27

0.30

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Alexis Galarneau Vit Kopriva

Break Points Saved %

65.8%

61.9%

Break Points Converted %

32.8%

51.6%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

54.3%

63.9%

Break Points Converted %

43.5%

38.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Alexis Galarneau 0 – 0 Vit Kopriva

Hard Montreal · 2026-08-03

1. round

Vit Kopriva #71

Alexis Galarneau #175

6-4 6-4

2 Aces 2

4 Double Faults 4

67 Service Points 63

31 First Serve In 40

17 First Serve Won 29

20 Second Serve Won 11

6 Break Points Saved 2

10 Break Points Faced 4

0 Winners 0

0 Unforced Errors 0

1.9 Average Odds 1.9

Alexis Galarneau vs Vit Kopriva — Prediction