ATP tennis predict — Alexis Galarneau vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz

Challenger Hard Bloomfield Hills challenger · 1. round

Predicted probability

Alexis Galarneau

Canada

50.37%

Pablo Llamas Ruiz

Spain

49.63%

Average Odds

1.74 / 2.01

Market probability

53.60% / 46.40%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1653.2 Elo 1614.7

1613.2 Elo (surface) 1570.9

194 Wins (Challenger) 87

163 Wins (surface) 19

9 Last 15 form 12

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.922 Dominance ratio 1.226

162 Rank 117

27.4 Age 23.8

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Alexis Galarneau

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 7W–2L · 77.8%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–6L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

25 matches with market odds since 2026-05-31.

Pablo Llamas Ruiz

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–3L · 62.5%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

20 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Alexis Galarneau Pablo Llamas Ruiz

1st Serve In %

62.6%

65.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.6%

73.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.5%

55.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.7%

30.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.6%

49.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.65

0.56

Double Faults per Service Game

0.20

0.11

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

56.8%

66.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.8%

66.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.4%

54.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

23.8%

33.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.5%

50.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.52

0.17

Double Faults per Service Game

0.27

0.08

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Alexis Galarneau Pablo Llamas Ruiz

Break Points Saved %

65.8%

63.0%

Break Points Converted %

32.8%

40.5%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

54.3%

56.2%

Break Points Converted %

43.5%

38.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Alexis Galarneau and Pablo Llamas Ruiz have never played each other.

Alexis Galarneau vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz — Prediction