ATP tennis predict — Alexis Galarneau vs Dino Prizmic

Challenger Hard Quebec City challenger · 1. round 01:00

Predicted probability

Alexis Galarneau

Canada

36.86%

Dino Prizmic

Croatia

63.14%

Average Odds

3.26 / 1.31

Market probability

28.67% / 71.33%

Why This Prediction?

Dino Prizmic is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1738 vs 1643), a stronger serve (68.1% vs 61.8% of service points won) and fewer double faults per game (0.08 vs 0.17).

Player Comparison

1643.2 Elo 1737.5

1597.4 Elo (surface) 1591.2

194 Wins (Challenger) 79

163 Wins (surface) 34

9 Last 15 form 12

0 Head-to-head wins 1

0.922 Dominance ratio 1.327

185 Rank 101

27.5 Age 21.0

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Alexis Galarneau

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 7W–2L · 77.8%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–6L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

25 matches with market odds since 2026-05-31.

Dino Prizmic

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

12 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Alexis Galarneau Dino Prizmic

1st Serve In %

62.6%

59.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.6%

71.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.5%

50.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.7%

27.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.6%

43.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.65

0.35

Double Faults per Service Game

0.20

0.22

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

56.8%

60.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.8%

72.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.4%

59.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

23.8%

32.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.5%

55.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.52

0.28

Double Faults per Service Game

0.27

0.25

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Alexis Galarneau Dino Prizmic

Break Points Saved %

65.8%

49.4%

Break Points Converted %

32.8%

35.5%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

54.3%

62.1%

Break Points Converted %

43.5%

50.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Alexis Galarneau 0 – 1 Dino Prizmic

Hard Quebec City challenger · 2026-08-20

1. round

Alexis Galarneau #185

Dino Prizmic #101

6-4 6-4

2 Aces 2

4 Double Faults 6

65 Service Points 64

32 First Serve In 31

22 First Serve Won 20

20 Second Serve Won 15

2 Break Points Saved 2

3 Break Points Faced 5

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

3.3 Average Odds 1.3

Hard Us Open · 2025-08-25

Q1

Dino Prizmic #124

Alexis Galarneau #177

7-6(7) 6-1

2 Aces 2

4 Double Faults 2

63 Service Points 71

37 First Serve In 40

25 First Serve Won 23

15 Second Serve Won 14

5 Break Points Saved 4

7 Break Points Faced 9

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Alexis Galarneau vs Dino Prizmic — Prediction