ATP tennis predict — Alexandre Reco vs Remy Bertola

Challenger Hard Mouilleron-Le-Captif challenger · 1. round 14:00

Predicted probability

Alexandre Reco

France

26.31%

Remy Bertola

Switzerland

73.69%

Average Odds

3.37 / 1.25

Market probability

27.06% / 72.94%

Why This Prediction?

Remy Bertola is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1702 vs 1522), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1633 vs 1541) and more wins on hard courts (48 vs 6).

Player Comparison

1521.8 Elo 1702.2

1541.0 Elo (surface) 1632.5

6 Wins (Challenger) 102

6 Wins (surface) 48

6 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.038 Dominance ratio 0.955

882 Rank 226

27.4 Age 28.1

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Alexandre Reco

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

1 matches with market odds since 2026-09-27.

Remy Bertola

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 5W–5L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

19 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Alexandre Reco Remy Bertola

1st Serve In %

—

55.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

75.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

50.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

29.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

47.9%

Aces per Service Game

—

0.45

Double Faults per Service Game

—

0.39

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

62.5%

56.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.9%

72.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.0%

49.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.9%

24.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.0%

51.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.38

0.43

Double Faults per Service Game

0.11

0.34

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Alexandre Reco Remy Bertola

Break Points Saved %

—

58.6%

Break Points Converted %

—

45.2%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

54.1%

49.1%

Break Points Converted %

45.8%

44.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Alexandre Reco and Remy Bertola have never played each other.

Alexandre Reco vs Remy Bertola — Prediction