ATP tennis predict — Alexandre Reco vs Patrick Zahraj

Challenger Hard Mouilleron-Le-Captif challenger · qualification - round of 16 11:00

Predicted probability

Alexandre Reco

France

40.97%

Patrick Zahraj

Germany

59.03%

Average Odds

2.75 / 1.41

Market probability

33.89% / 66.11%

Why This Prediction?

Patrick Zahraj is the favorite because he has more wins on hard courts (44 vs 6), more career match wins (51 vs 6) and a stronger return game (40.5% vs 39.0% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1521.8 Elo 1476.8

1541.0 Elo (surface) 1522.4

6 Wins (Challenger) 51

6 Wins (surface) 44

6 Last 15 form 5

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.038 Dominance ratio 0.968

882 Rank 510

27.4 Age 27.2

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Alexandre Reco

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

1 matches with market odds since 2026-09-27.

Patrick Zahraj

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–5L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

11 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Alexandre Reco Patrick Zahraj

1st Serve In %

—

56.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

70.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

43.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

24.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

44.8%

Aces per Service Game

—

0.36

Double Faults per Service Game

—

0.41

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

62.5%

56.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.9%

69.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.0%

48.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.9%

33.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.0%

43.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.38

0.53

Double Faults per Service Game

0.11

0.27

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Alexandre Reco Patrick Zahraj

Break Points Saved %

—

64.2%

Break Points Converted %

—

36.7%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

54.1%

66.7%

Break Points Converted %

45.8%

38.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Alexandre Reco and Patrick Zahraj have never played each other.

Alexandre Reco vs Patrick Zahraj — Prediction