ATP tennis predict — Alexandre Muller vs Petr Bar Biryukov

ATP Hard Chengdu · qualification - quarterfinal 07:05

Predicted probability

Alexandre Muller

France

63.21%

Petr Bar Biryukov

Russia

36.79%

Average Odds

1.35 / 3.07

Market probability

69.46% / 30.54%

Why This Prediction?

Alexandre Muller is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1767 vs 1610), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1742 vs 1659) and better recent form (5 wins in his last 15 matches vs 1).

Player Comparison

1767.1 Elo 1610.3

1741.7 Elo (surface) 1658.7

92 Wins 1

49 Wins (surface) 1

5 Last 15 form 1

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.108 Dominance ratio 0.518

135 Rank 269

29.6 Age 24.6

right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Alexandre Muller

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–1L · 83.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Petr Bar Biryukov

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–4L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-06-06.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Alexandre Muller Petr Bar Biryukov

1st Serve In %

66.1%

64.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.4%

76.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.8%

45.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

34.3%

13.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.2%

26.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.49

1.13

Double Faults per Service Game

0.24

0.36

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

59.5%

67.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

75.1%

75.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.1%

66.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.5%

30.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.2%

53.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.47

0.50

Double Faults per Service Game

0.23

0.19

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Alexandre Muller Petr Bar Biryukov

Break Points Saved %

67.9%

82.9%

Break Points Converted %

30.0%

0.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

58.5%

64.5%

Break Points Converted %

39.3%

43.1%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Alexandre Muller 0 – 0 Petr Bar Biryukov

Hard Chengdu · 2026-09-23

qualification - quarterfinal

Alexandre Muller #135

Petr Bar Biryukov #269

6-4 6-4

1 Aces 10

3 Double Faults 3

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

36 First Serve Won 34

9 Second Serve Won 12

3 Break Points Saved 7

3 Break Points Faced 9

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.4 Average Odds 3.1

Alexandre Muller vs Petr Bar Biryukov — Prediction