ATP tennis predict — Alexandre Muller vs Coleman Wong

Challenger Hard Cancun challenger · 1. round 22:00

Predicted probability

Alexandre Muller

France

40.36%

Coleman Wong

Hong Kong

59.64%

Average Odds

2.70 / 1.40

Market probability

34.15% / 65.85%

Why This Prediction?

Coleman Wong is the favorite because he has a stronger serve (68.5% vs 64.9% of service points won), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1685 vs 1623) and more wins on hard courts (78 vs 59).

Player Comparison

1634.7 Elo 1651.2

1622.8 Elo (surface) 1685.1

175 Wins (Challenger) 86

59 Wins (surface) 78

7 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.014 Dominance ratio 1.051

136 Rank 93

29.5 Age 22.2

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Alexandre Muller

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–1L · 83.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Coleman Wong

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–5L · 54.5%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

24 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Alexandre Muller Coleman Wong

1st Serve In %

66.1%

53.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.4%

77.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.8%

59.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

34.3%

30.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.2%

52.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.49

0.70

Double Faults per Service Game

0.24

0.30

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

59.5%

59.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

75.1%

76.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.1%

50.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.5%

23.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.2%

49.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.47

0.73

Double Faults per Service Game

0.23

0.25

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Alexandre Muller Coleman Wong

Break Points Saved %

67.9%

75.0%

Break Points Converted %

30.0%

36.8%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

58.5%

52.5%

Break Points Converted %

39.3%

38.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Alexandre Muller 0 – 0 Coleman Wong

Hard Cancun challenger · 2026-08-19

1. round

Coleman Wong #93

Alexandre Muller #136

6-2 6-2

6 Aces 12

1 Double Faults 3

49 Service Points 55

24 First Serve In 32

15 First Serve Won 26

10 Second Serve Won 11

3 Break Points Saved 4

7 Break Points Faced 4

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.4 Average Odds 2.7

Alexandre Muller vs Coleman Wong — Prediction