ATP tennis predict — Alexandr Binda vs Tung Lin Wu

Challenger Hard Shanghai challenger · 1. round 10:30

Predicted probability

Alexandr Binda

Italy

38.22%

Tung Lin Wu

Chinese Taipei

61.78%

Average Odds

3.71 / 1.24

Market probability

25.05% / 74.95%

Why This Prediction?

Tung Lin Wu is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1525 vs 1434), a higher Elo rating (1526 vs 1465) and more wins on hard courts (22 vs 0).

Player Comparison

1464.7 Elo 1526.3

1434.1 Elo (surface) 1525.0

27 Wins (Challenger) 195

24 Wins (surface) 165

9 Last 15 form 6

0 Head-to-head wins 1

1.180 Dominance ratio 1.009

552 Rank 370

25.0 Age 28.3

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Alexandr Binda

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–1L · 85.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-07-05.

Tung Lin Wu

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–4L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

8 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Alexandr Binda Tung Lin Wu

1st Serve In %

—

63.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

54.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

44.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

26.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

43.1%

Aces per Service Game

—

0.22

Double Faults per Service Game

—

0.19

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

67.9%

63.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

77.8%

68.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

42.0%

49.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.7%

28.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

55.4%

43.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.65

0.47

Double Faults per Service Game

0.28

0.25

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Alexandr Binda Tung Lin Wu

Break Points Saved %

—

52.0%

Break Points Converted %

—

28.6%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

62.5%

58.6%

Break Points Converted %

40.8%

16.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Alexandr Binda 0 – 1 Tung Lin Wu

Hard Shanghai challenger · 2026-09-08

1. round

Tung Lin Wu #370

Alexandr Binda #552

7-6 6-2

4 Aces 6

3 Double Faults 2

59 Service Points 79

37 First Serve In 60

27 First Serve Won 45

11 Second Serve Won 8

1 Break Points Saved 8

4 Break Points Faced 9

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.2 Average Odds 3.7

Hard Pune CH · 2026-02-23

R32

Tung Lin Wu #370

Alexandr Binda #448

6-1 6-2

4 Aces 2

0 Double Faults 1

31 Service Points 44

19 First Serve In 23

16 First Serve Won 11

12 Second Serve Won 9

0 Break Points Saved 0

0 Break Points Faced 5

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Alexandr Binda vs Tung Lin Wu — Prediction