ATP tennis predict — Alexandr Binda vs Sidharth Rawat

Challenger Hard Istanbul challenger · qualification - round of 16

Predicted probability

Alexandr Binda

Italy

62.65%

Sidharth Rawat

India

37.35%

Average Odds

1.65 / 2.13

Market probability

56.35% / 43.65%

Why This Prediction?

Alexandr Binda is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1426 vs 1333) and a stronger return game (43.1% vs 39.0% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1425.8 Elo 1332.7

1376.4 Elo (surface) 1334.3

23 Wins (Challenger) 53

20 Wins (surface) 52

7 Last 15 form 4

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.018 Dominance ratio 0.964

479 Rank 540

24.9 Age 33.3

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Alexandr Binda

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–1L · 85.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-07-05.

Sidharth Rawat

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

9 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Alexandr Binda Sidharth Rawat

1st Serve In %

—

56.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

69.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

46.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

30.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

35.1%

Aces per Service Game

—

0.38

Double Faults per Service Game

—

0.14

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

67.9%

58.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

77.8%

70.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

42.0%

45.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.7%

35.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

55.4%

52.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.65

0.37

Double Faults per Service Game

0.28

0.22

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Alexandr Binda Sidharth Rawat

Break Points Saved %

—

54.5%

Break Points Converted %

—

66.7%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

62.5%

53.8%

Break Points Converted %

40.8%

34.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Alexandr Binda 0 – 0 Sidharth Rawat

Hard Istanbul challenger · 2026-08-03

qualification - round of 16

Alexandr Binda #571

Sidharth Rawat #536

6-4 6-2

4 Aces 5

5 Double Faults 0

59 Service Points 58

41 First Serve In 42

30 First Serve Won 22

8 Second Serve Won 8

7 Break Points Saved 2

8 Break Points Faced 6

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.6 Average Odds 2.1

Alexandr Binda vs Sidharth Rawat — Prediction