ATP tennis predict — Alexandr Binda vs Mikalai Haliak

Challenger Hard Shanghai challenger · qualification - round of 16 09:00

Predicted probability

Alexandr Binda

Italy

60.13%

Mikalai Haliak

Belarus

39.87%

Average Odds

1.44 / 2.64

Market probability

64.71% / 35.29%

Why This Prediction?

Alexandr Binda is the favorite because he has a stronger serve (62.9% vs 56.3% of service points won), a higher Elo rating (1444 vs 1389) and a stronger return game (43.1% vs 33.4% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1444.4 Elo 1389.2

1408.7 Elo (surface) 1412.1

26 Wins (Challenger) 21

23 Wins (surface) 19

8 Last 15 form 4

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.162 Dominance ratio 0.764

552 Rank 944

25.0 Age 28.1

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Alexandr Binda

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–1L · 85.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-07-05.

Mikalai Haliak

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

3 matches with market odds since 2026-09-06.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Alexandr Binda Mikalai Haliak

1st Serve In %

—

62.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

61.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

44.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

20.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

38.1%

Aces per Service Game

—

0.24

Double Faults per Service Game

—

0.24

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

67.9%

57.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

77.8%

65.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

42.0%

44.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.7%

28.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

55.4%

42.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.65

0.13

Double Faults per Service Game

0.28

0.25

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Alexandr Binda Mikalai Haliak

Break Points Saved %

—

61.4%

Break Points Converted %

—

25.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

62.5%

61.8%

Break Points Converted %

40.8%

38.1%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Alexandr Binda 0 – 0 Mikalai Haliak

Hard Shanghai challenger · 2026-09-07

qualification - round of 16

Alexandr Binda #552

Mikalai Haliak #944

6-3 6-1

8 Aces 1

3 Double Faults 1

61 Service Points 44

38 First Serve In 32

30 First Serve Won 18

10 Second Serve Won 4

4 Break Points Saved 6

4 Break Points Faced 10

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.4 Average Odds 2.6

Alexandr Binda vs Mikalai Haliak — Prediction