Alexandr Binda vs Kosuke Ogura — Prediction
Predicted probability
Average Odds
1.35 / 2.93
Market probability
68.46% / 31.54%
Why This Prediction?
Alexandr Binda is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1517 vs 1400), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1503 vs 1431) and a stronger return game (43.2% vs 38.6% of return points won).
Player Comparison
Performance vs. the Odds
Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.
Alexandr Binda
17 matches with market odds since 2026-07-05.
Kosuke Ogura
2 matches with market odds since 2026-09-13.
Serve & Return
Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.
Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.
1st Serve In %
1st Serve Points Won %
2nd Serve Points Won %
Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %
Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %
Aces per Service Game
Double Faults per Service Game
Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.
Break Point Performance
How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.
Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.
Break Points Saved %
Break Points Converted %
Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.
Head-to-Head
Alexandr Binda 0 – 0 Kosuke Ogura