ATP tennis predict — Alexandr Binda vs Cheng Peng Hsieh

Challenger Hard Shanghai challenger · qualification - 1. round 09:10

Predicted probability

Alexandr Binda

Italy

83.37%

Cheng Peng Hsieh

Chinese Taipei

16.63%

Average Odds

1.02 / 3.42

Market probability

77.03% / 22.97%

Why This Prediction?

Alexandr Binda is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1434 vs 1209), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1393 vs 1246) and a stronger return game (43.0% vs 28.5% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1433.9 Elo 1209.2

1393.5 Elo (surface) 1246.4

25 Wins (Challenger) 6

22 Wins (surface) 6

7 Last 15 form 4

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.093 Dominance ratio 0.676

552 Rank -

25.0 Age 35.0

right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Alexandr Binda

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–1L · 85.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-07-05.

Cheng Peng Hsieh

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

1 matches with market odds since 2026-09-06.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Alexandr Binda Cheng Peng Hsieh

1st Serve In %

—

31.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

54.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

45.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

0.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

35.7%

Aces per Service Game

—

0.00

Double Faults per Service Game

—

0.71

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

67.9%

55.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

77.8%

65.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

42.0%

48.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.7%

19.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

55.4%

42.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.65

0.38

Double Faults per Service Game

0.28

0.44

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Alexandr Binda Cheng Peng Hsieh

Break Points Saved %

—

33.3%

Break Points Converted %

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

62.5%

56.8%

Break Points Converted %

40.8%

35.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Alexandr Binda 0 – 0 Cheng Peng Hsieh

Hard Shanghai challenger · 2026-09-06

qualification - 1. round

Alexandr Binda #552

Cheng Peng Hsieh #-

6-1 6-1

3 Aces 0

2 Double Faults 5

39 Service Points 39

25 First Serve In 12

22 First Serve Won 7

8 Second Serve Won 8

1 Break Points Saved 5

1 Break Points Faced 10

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.0 Average Odds 3.4

Alexandr Binda vs Cheng Peng Hsieh — Prediction