ATP tennis predict — Alexander Zverev vs Yibing Wu

ATP Hard Shanghai · 2. round 08:20

Predicted probability

Alexander Zverev

Germany

88.71%

Yibing Wu

China

11.29%

Average Odds

1.10 / 6.90

Market probability

86.25% / 13.75%

Why This Prediction?

Alexander Zverev is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (2246 vs 1878), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (2155 vs 1877) and a stronger serve (68.5% vs 62.1% of service points won).

Player Comparison

2245.9 Elo 1878.4

2155.1 Elo (surface) 1877.2

599 Wins 55

353 Wins (surface) 47

12 Last 15 form 6

1 Head-to-head wins 0

1.046 Dominance ratio 0.894

2 Rank 113

29.5 Age 27.0

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Alexander Zverev

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 22W–2L · 91.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

31 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Yibing Wu

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–4L · 42.9%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Alexander Zverev Yibing Wu

1st Serve In %

66.8%

61.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

77.5%

73.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.9%

48.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.7%

29.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

56.5%

45.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.75

0.48

Double Faults per Service Game

0.27

0.23

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.8%

55.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

74.6%

70.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.8%

48.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.8%

30.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

58.2%

51.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.50

0.32

Double Faults per Service Game

0.27

0.31

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Alexander Zverev Yibing Wu

Break Points Saved %

68.6%

65.7%

Break Points Converted %

38.2%

34.3%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

66.1%

56.5%

Break Points Converted %

49.4%

41.5%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Alexander Zverev 1 – 0 Yibing Wu

Clay Geneva · 2023-05-22

QF

Alexander Zverev #27

Yibing Wu #59

4-1 RET

2 Aces 0

0 Double Faults 2

10 Service Points 22

9 First Serve In 16

7 First Serve Won 7

1 Second Serve Won 3

0 Break Points Saved 3

0 Break Points Faced 5

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Alexander Zverev vs Yibing Wu — Prediction