ATP tennis predict — Alexander Zverev vs Terence Atmane

ATP Hard Cincinnati · 3. round 01:45

Predicted probability

Alexander Zverev

Germany

80.31%

Terence Atmane

France

19.69%

Average Odds

1.15 / 5.36

Market probability

82.33% / 17.67%

Why This Prediction?

Alexander Zverev is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (2022 vs 1664), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1961 vs 1704) and better recent form (12 wins in his last 15 matches vs 7).

Player Comparison

2021.7 Elo 1664.0

1960.7 Elo (surface) 1703.8

588 Wins 57

342 Wins (surface) 47

12 Last 15 form 7

1 Head-to-head wins 0

0.836 Dominance ratio 0.838

3 Rank 45

29.3 Age 24.6

right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Alexander Zverev

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 20W–1L · 95.2%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

27 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Terence Atmane

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

13 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Alexander Zverev Terence Atmane

1st Serve In %

65.1%

59.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

78.6%

76.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

54.9%

50.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.4%

20.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.9%

43.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.73

0.48

Double Faults per Service Game

0.29

0.27

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.8%

62.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

74.6%

71.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.8%

52.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.8%

26.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

58.2%

43.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.50

0.71

Double Faults per Service Game

0.27

0.25

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Alexander Zverev Terence Atmane

Break Points Saved %

63.2%

64.3%

Break Points Converted %

34.2%

44.2%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

66.1%

67.1%

Break Points Converted %

49.4%

32.1%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Alexander Zverev 1 – 0 Terence Atmane

Hard Cincinnati · 2026-08-18

3. round

Alexander Zverev #3

Terence Atmane #45

7-6 7-6

5 Aces 1

3 Double Faults 2

77 Service Points 75

52 First Serve In 41

44 First Serve Won 31

15 Second Serve Won 24

1 Break Points Saved 1

2 Break Points Faced 2

27 Winners 22

25 Unforced Errors 16

1.1 Average Odds 5.4

Clay Madrid Masters · 2026-04-22

R32

Alexander Zverev #3

Terence Atmane #47

6-3 7-6(2)

2 Aces 3

1 Double Faults 1

54 Service Points 76

39 First Serve In 52

32 First Serve Won 38

9 Second Serve Won 8

0 Break Points Saved 4

1 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Alexander Zverev vs Terence Atmane — Prediction