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Alexander Zverev vs Tallon Griekspoor — Prediction

ATP Hard Montreal · 2. round 20:00

Predicted probability

Alexander Zverev

Germany

76.55%

Tallon Griekspoor

Netherlands

23.45%

Average Odds

1.08  /  7.79

Market probability

87.82%  /  12.18%

Why This Prediction?

Alexander Zverev is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (2031 vs 1801), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1971 vs 1773) and more aces per game (0.34 vs 0.29).

Player Comparison

2031.3 Elo 1801.0
1970.6 Elo (surface) 1772.6
587 Wins 160
341 Wins (surface) 98
13 Last 15 form 5
10 Head-to-head wins 2
0.796 Dominance ratio 1.091
3 Rank 69
29.3 Age 30.1
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Alexander Zverev

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 20W–1L · 95.2%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–2L · 50.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

27 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Tallon Griekspoor

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–5L · 16.7%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

10 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Alexander Zverev Tallon Griekspoor

1st Serve In %

65.1%
62.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

78.6%
75.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

54.9%
56.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.4%
25.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.9%
50.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.73
0.64

Double Faults per Service Game

0.29
0.23

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.8%
62.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

74.6%
72.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.8%
58.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.8%
31.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

58.2%
54.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.50
0.53

Double Faults per Service Game

0.27
0.22

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Alexander Zverev Tallon Griekspoor

Break Points Saved %

63.2%
61.4%

Break Points Converted %

34.2%
43.8%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

66.1%
55.0%

Break Points Converted %

49.4%
40.5%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Alexander Zverev 10 – 2 Tallon Griekspoor

Hard Montreal · 2026-08-05

2. round

Tallon Griekspoor #69

Alexander Zverev #3

6-7 6-2 6-4
10 Aces 8
4 Double Faults 2
94 Service Points 80
65 First Serve In 55
46 First Serve Won 45
12 Second Serve Won 15
5 Break Points Saved 0
9 Break Points Faced 1
21 Winners 32
34 Unforced Errors 30
7.8 Average Odds 1.1
Hard United Cup · 2026-01-05

RR

Alexander Zverev #3

Tallon Griekspoor #25

7-5 6-0
15 Aces 3
0 Double Faults 3
48 Service Points 43
36 First Serve In 30
32 First Serve Won 19
6 Second Serve Won 3
2 Break Points Saved 0
2 Break Points Faced 4
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -
Hard Vienna · 2025-10-20

QF

Alexander Zverev #3

Tallon Griekspoor #28

W/O
0 Aces 0
0 Double Faults 0
0 Service Points 0
0 First Serve In 0
0 First Serve Won 0
0 Second Serve Won 0
0 Break Points Saved 0
0 Break Points Faced 0
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -
Clay Roland Garros · 2025-05-26

R16

Alexander Zverev #3

Tallon Griekspoor #35

6-4 3-0 RET
3 Aces 0
1 Double Faults 0
34 Service Points 38
26 First Serve In 29
19 First Serve Won 14
5 Second Serve Won 4
1 Break Points Saved 1
2 Break Points Faced 5
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -
Clay Munich · 2025-04-14

QF

Alexander Zverev #3

Tallon Griekspoor #37

6-7(6) 7-6(3) 6-4
5 Aces 2
3 Double Faults 3
116 Service Points 121
79 First Serve In 74
58 First Serve Won 52
22 Second Serve Won 25
5 Break Points Saved 5
6 Break Points Faced 7
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -
Hard Indian Wells Masters · 2025-03-05

R64

Tallon Griekspoor #43

Alexander Zverev #2

4-6 7-6(5) 7-6(4)
10 Aces 6
9 Double Faults 2
135 Service Points 106
90 First Serve In 66
63 First Serve Won 44
19 Second Serve Won 24
9 Break Points Saved 5
14 Break Points Faced 9
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -
Hard Paris Masters · 2024-10-28

R32

Alexander Zverev #3

Tallon Griekspoor #39

7-6(2) 6-3
9 Aces 8
2 Double Faults 4
68 Service Points 62
42 First Serve In 40
36 First Serve Won 33
16 Second Serve Won 10
3 Break Points Saved 0
3 Break Points Faced 1
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -
Hard Shanghai Masters · 2024-10-02

R32

Alexander Zverev #3

Tallon Griekspoor #40

7-6(6) 2-6 7-6(5)
11 Aces 11
2 Double Faults 1
105 Service Points 115
81 First Serve In 84
60 First Serve Won 61
11 Second Serve Won 15
7 Break Points Saved 9
10 Break Points Faced 10
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -
Clay Roland Garros · 2024-05-27

R32

Alexander Zverev #4

Tallon Griekspoor #25

3-6 6-4 6-2 4-6 7-6(3)
11 Aces 5
5 Double Faults 6
153 Service Points 161
115 First Serve In 111
80 First Serve Won 74
21 Second Serve Won 24
6 Break Points Saved 13
10 Break Points Faced 18
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -
Hard Indian Wells Masters · 2024-03-04

R32

Alexander Zverev #6

Tallon Griekspoor #27

7-6(7) 6-3
8 Aces 8
1 Double Faults 6
67 Service Points 74
51 First Serve In 50
39 First Serve Won 35
7 Second Serve Won 11
2 Break Points Saved 5
3 Break Points Faced 8
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -
Hard Canada Masters · 2023-08-07

R64

Alexander Zverev #16

Tallon Griekspoor #26

6-4 7-6(3)
12 Aces 5
0 Double Faults 5
65 Service Points 79
48 First Serve In 39
39 First Serve Won 29
12 Second Serve Won 23
1 Break Points Saved 2
1 Break Points Faced 3
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -
Hard Rotterdam · 2023-02-13

R16

Tallon Griekspoor #61

Alexander Zverev #17

4-6 6-3 6-4
12 Aces 5
3 Double Faults 4
86 Service Points 77
55 First Serve In 55
50 First Serve Won 39
13 Second Serve Won 12
6 Break Points Saved 0
7 Break Points Faced 2
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -
Grass Wimbledon · 2021-06-28

R128

Alexander Zverev #6

Tallon Griekspoor #124

6-3 6-4 6-1
20 Aces 3
4 Double Faults 4
71 Service Points 84
48 First Serve In 56
37 First Serve Won 33
11 Second Serve Won 11
2 Break Points Saved 9
4 Break Points Faced 16
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -

Alexander Zverev — Last 10

W W W W W W W L W W

Tallon Griekspoor — Last 10

L L W W W L L L L W