← Back to Predictions

Alexander Zverev vs Quentin Halys — Prediction

Grand Slam Hard US Open · 2. round 03:40

Predicted probability

Alexander Zverev

Germany

83.83%

Quentin Halys

France

16.17%

Average Odds

1.14  /  5.64

Market probability

83.19%  /  16.81%

Why This Prediction?

Alexander Zverev is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (2016 vs 1775), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1952 vs 1754) and a stronger serve (67.6% vs 66.9% of service points won).

Player Comparison

2015.7 Elo 1775.2
1951.8 Elo (surface) 1754.1
590 Wins 145
344 Wins (surface) 92
11 Last 15 form 11
2 Head-to-head wins 0
0.928 Dominance ratio 0.948
2 Rank 52
29.4 Age 29.9
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Alexander Zverev

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 20W–1L · 95.2%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–2L · 50.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

27 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Quentin Halys

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 7W–4L · 63.6%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 7W–2L · 77.8%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

24 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Alexander Zverev Quentin Halys

1st Serve In %

65.1%
57.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

78.6%
77.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

54.9%
48.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.4%
22.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.9%
47.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.73
0.74

Double Faults per Service Game

0.29
0.33

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.8%
63.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

74.6%
77.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.8%
51.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.8%
25.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

58.2%
47.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.50
0.66

Double Faults per Service Game

0.27
0.27

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Alexander Zverev Quentin Halys

Break Points Saved %

63.2%
72.5%

Break Points Converted %

34.2%
36.8%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

66.1%
73.6%

Break Points Converted %

49.4%
33.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Alexander Zverev 20 Quentin Halys

Hard US Open · 2026-09-04
6-4 4-6 7-6 6-7 6-3
29 Aces 18
8 Double Faults 12
157 Service Points 198
103 First Serve In 108
82 First Serve Won 86
26 Second Serve Won 37
4 Break Points Saved 15
7 Break Points Faced 20
60 Winners 54
49 Unforced Errors 63
1.1 Average Odds 5.6
Clay French Open · 2026-05-29
6-4 6-3 5-7 6-2
7 Aces 6
2 Double Faults 7
139 Service Points 107
90 First Serve In 72
54 First Serve Won 51
24 Second Serve Won 21
10 Break Points Saved 2
17 Break Points Faced 5
30 Winners 53
50 Unforced Errors 47
1.1 Average Odds 10.0
Hard Miami Masters · 2026-03-18
7-6(4) 7-6(1)
16 Aces 12
1 Double Faults 2
76 Service Points 86
49 First Serve In 60
43 First Serve Won 44
14 Second Serve Won 14
0 Break Points Saved 6
0 Break Points Faced 6
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -

Alexander Zverev — Last 10

W W W W W W W L W W

Quentin Halys — Last 10

L W L L W W W W W W