ATP tennis predict — Alexander Zverev vs Cameron Norrie

ATP Hard Cincinnati · 2. round 05:40

Predicted probability

Alexander Zverev

Germany

79.07%

Cameron Norrie

Great Britain

20.93%

Average Odds

1.23 / 4.17

Market probability

77.22% / 22.78%

Why This Prediction?

Alexander Zverev is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (2018 vs 1786), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1955 vs 1791) and a stronger serve (67.2% vs 64.5% of service points won).

Player Comparison

2018.2 Elo 1785.7

1955.0 Elo (surface) 1790.6

587 Wins 304

341 Wins (surface) 193

12 Last 15 form 8

7 Head-to-head wins 0

0.819 Dominance ratio 1.157

3 Rank 37

29.3 Age 31.0

right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Alexander Zverev

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 20W–1L · 95.2%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

27 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Cameron Norrie

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–3L · 62.5%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

13 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Alexander Zverev Cameron Norrie

1st Serve In %

65.1%

58.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

78.6%

69.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

54.9%

50.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.4%

27.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.9%

50.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.73

0.36

Double Faults per Service Game

0.29

0.25

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.8%

63.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

74.6%

68.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.8%

49.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.8%

34.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

58.2%

55.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.50

0.43

Double Faults per Service Game

0.27

0.29

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Alexander Zverev Cameron Norrie

Break Points Saved %

63.2%

63.9%

Break Points Converted %

34.2%

47.6%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

66.1%

60.0%

Break Points Converted %

49.4%

42.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Alexander Zverev 7 – 0 Cameron Norrie

Hard Cincinnati · 2026-08-16

2. round

Alexander Zverev #3

Cameron Norrie #35

3-6 6-3 6-3

16 Aces 3

5 Double Faults 6

74 Service Points 113

39 First Serve In 64

33 First Serve Won 42

20 Second Serve Won 23

2 Break Points Saved 13

3 Break Points Faced 16

41 Winners 25

35 Unforced Errors 36

1.2 Average Odds 4.2

Hard Australian Open · 2026-01-19

R32

Alexander Zverev #3

Cameron Norrie #27

7-5 4-6 6-3 6-1

16 Aces 5

1 Double Faults 2

106 Service Points 116

76 First Serve In 76

59 First Serve Won 49

16 Second Serve Won 22

3 Break Points Saved 8

5 Break Points Faced 14

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Grass Wimbledon · 2024-07-01

R32

Alexander Zverev #4

Cameron Norrie #42

6-4 6-4 7-6(15)

15 Aces 10

2 Double Faults 1

96 Service Points 117

73 First Serve In 90

66 First Serve Won 64

15 Second Serve Won 16

0 Break Points Saved 6

0 Break Points Faced 8

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Hard Australian Open · 2024-01-15

R16

Alexander Zverev #6

Cameron Norrie #22

7-5 3-6 6-3 4-6 7-6(3)

15 Aces 10

6 Double Faults 2

150 Service Points 169

114 First Serve In 106

87 First Serve Won 73

16 Second Serve Won 33

6 Break Points Saved 10

10 Break Points Faced 14

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Hard Vienna · 2023-10-23

R16

Alexander Zverev #10

Cameron Norrie #18

6-2 6-4

9 Aces 1

0 Double Faults 2

55 Service Points 52

45 First Serve In 28

36 First Serve Won 19

3 Second Serve Won 12

5 Break Points Saved 1

5 Break Points Faced 4

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Hard Atp Cup · 2022-01-03

RR

Alexander Zverev #3

Cameron Norrie #12

7-6(2) 6-1

5 Aces 5

1 Double Faults 0

59 Service Points 62

50 First Serve In 37

42 First Serve Won 26

4 Second Serve Won 13

3 Break Points Saved 4

3 Break Points Faced 6

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Hard Canada Masters · 2019-08-05

R32

Alexander Zverev #7

Cameron Norrie #62

7-6(4) 6-4

10 Aces 0

5 Double Faults 4

83 Service Points 72

54 First Serve In 51

42 First Serve Won 33

13 Second Serve Won 12

6 Break Points Saved 5

6 Break Points Faced 6

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Hard Acapulco · 2019-02-25

SF

Alexander Zverev #3

Cameron Norrie #64

7-6(0) 6-3

10 Aces 2

4 Double Faults 2

62 Service Points 57

42 First Serve In 39

34 First Serve Won 29

13 Second Serve Won 8

2 Break Points Saved 2

3 Break Points Faced 4

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Alexander Zverev vs Cameron Norrie — Prediction

Why This Prediction?

Player Comparison

Performance vs. the Odds

Serve & Return

Break Point Performance

Head-to-Head

Alexander Zverev — Last 10

Cameron Norrie — Last 10