ATP tennis predict — Alexander Zverev vs Botic Van De Zandschulp

Grand Slam Hard US Open · QF 02:00

Predicted probability

Alexander Zverev

Germany

83.80%

Botic Van De Zandschulp

Netherlands

16.20%

Average Odds

1.11 / 6.58

Market probability

85.57% / 14.43%

Why This Prediction?

Alexander Zverev is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (2243 vs 1964), a lighter recent match load (167 vs 171 games played recently) and a higher Elo rating on hard courts (2142 vs 1941).

Player Comparison

2243.1 Elo 1964.5

2142.3 Elo (surface) 1941.3

593 Wins 176

347 Wins (surface) 119

12 Last 15 form 10

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.046 Dominance ratio 1.140

2 Rank 70

29.4 Age 30.9

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Alexander Zverev

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 20W–1L · 95.2%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

27 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Botic Van De Zandschulp

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 8W–1L · 88.9%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–4L · 42.9%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

20 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Alexander Zverev Botic Van De Zandschulp

1st Serve In %

65.1%

58.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

78.6%

74.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

54.9%

44.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.4%

29.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.9%

54.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.73

0.61

Double Faults per Service Game

0.29

0.41

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.8%

60.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

74.6%

71.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.8%

45.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.8%

38.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

58.2%

59.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.50

0.52

Double Faults per Service Game

0.27

0.40

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Alexander Zverev Botic Van De Zandschulp

Break Points Saved %

63.2%

62.0%

Break Points Converted %

34.2%

48.6%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

66.1%

50.0%

Break Points Converted %

49.4%

45.1%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Alexander Zverev 0 – 0 Botic Van De Zandschulp

Hard US Open · 2026-09-10

QF

Alexander Zverev #2

Botic Van De Zandschulp #70

6-2 7-5 6-1

9 Aces 7

7 Double Faults 3

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

46 First Serve Won 29

12 Second Serve Won 14

2 Break Points Saved 3

2 Break Points Faced 9

22 Winners 27

28 Unforced Errors 36

1.1 Average Odds 6.6

Alexander Zverev vs Botic Van De Zandschulp — Prediction