ATP tennis predict — Alexander Weis vs Mykyta Mashtakov

Challenger Clay Plovdiv 4 challenger · qualification - 1. round 13:30

Predicted probability

Alexander Weis

Italy

49.36%

Mykyta Mashtakov

Ukraine

50.64%

Average Odds

1.67 / 2.07

Market probability

55.35% / 44.65%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1508.0 Elo 1516.4

1508.7 Elo (surface) 1509.0

59 Wins (Challenger) 7

59 Wins (surface) 7

6 Last 15 form 7

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.798 Dominance ratio 0.947

613 Rank 532

29.4 Age 27.5

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Alexander Weis

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

6 matches with market odds since 2026-06-15.

Mykyta Mashtakov

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

12 matches with market odds since 2026-08-09.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Alexander Weis Mykyta Mashtakov

1st Serve In %

54.7%

68.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.9%

51.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.1%

25.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

16.2%

14.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

37.0%

36.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.18

0.00

Double Faults per Service Game

0.36

0.10

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

54.3%

66.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

62.2%

68.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.1%

45.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.9%

37.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.8%

50.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.15

0.12

Double Faults per Service Game

0.30

0.22

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Alexander Weis Mykyta Mashtakov

Break Points Saved %

75.0%

46.2%

Break Points Converted %

28.6%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

57.7%

59.5%

Break Points Converted %

53.5%

47.1%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Alexander Weis 0 – 0 Mykyta Mashtakov

Clay Plovdiv 4 challenger · 2026-09-20

qualification - 1. round

Mykyta Mashtakov #527

Alexander Weis #617

6-1 6-3

0 Aces 2

0 Double Faults 3

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

18 First Serve Won 23

9 Second Serve Won 10

2 Break Points Saved 4

7 Break Points Faced 5

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.1 Average Odds 1.7

Alexander Weis vs Mykyta Mashtakov — Prediction