ATP tennis predict — Alexander Shevchenko vs Dominic Stricker

ATP Clay Gstaad · R16

Predicted probability

Alexander Shevchenko

Kazakhstan

49.60%

Dominic Stricker

Switzerland

50.40%

Average Odds

1.94 / 1.84

Market probability

48.68% / 51.32%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1700.0 Elo 1716.2

1700.5 Elo (surface) 1620.4

87 Wins 46

33 Wins (surface) 9

7 Last 15 form 5

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.085 Dominance ratio 0.938

100 Rank 360

25.6 Age 23.9

right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Alexander Shevchenko

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–5L · 16.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Dominic Stricker

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–5L · 54.5%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Alexander Shevchenko Dominic Stricker

1st Serve In %

57.1%

58.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

74.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

55.0%

46.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

23.3%

30.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.3%

45.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.51

0.62

Double Faults per Service Game

0.27

0.17

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

64.7%

58.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.5%

71.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.8%

52.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

39.1%

29.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.7%

57.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.44

0.40

Double Faults per Service Game

0.11

0.22

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Alexander Shevchenko Dominic Stricker

Break Points Saved %

72.6%

50.0%

Break Points Converted %

38.8%

40.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

65.4%

50.0%

Break Points Converted %

41.1%

43.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Alexander Shevchenko 0 – 0 Dominic Stricker

Clay Gstaad · 2026-07-17

R16

Alexander Shevchenko #100

Dominic Stricker #360

7-6 6-2

9 Aces 5

4 Double Faults 2

75 Service Points 60

49 First Serve In 31

37 First Serve Won 24

14 Second Serve Won 10

7 Break Points Saved 1

8 Break Points Faced 4

20 Winners 24

22 Unforced Errors 29

1.9 Average Odds 1.8

Alexander Shevchenko vs Dominic Stricker — Prediction