ATP tennis predict — Alexander Rozin vs Anton Shepp

Challenger Hard Winnipeg challenger · qualification - 1. round

Predicted probability

Alexander Rozin

Canada

45.96%

Anton Shepp

New Zealand

54.04%

Average Odds

2.46 / 1.40

Market probability

36.27% / 63.73%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1529.7 Elo 1522.5

1531.7 Elo (surface) 1531.4

2 Wins (Challenger) 1

2 Wins (surface) 1

2 Last 15 form 1

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.097 Dominance ratio 0.831

1046 Rank 516

None Age 23.7

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Alexander Rozin

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

5 matches with market odds since 2026-07-12.

Anton Shepp

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

8 matches with market odds since 2026-07-14.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Alexander Rozin Anton Shepp

1st Serve In %

—

60.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

64.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

42.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

15.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

50.0%

Aces per Service Game

—

1.10

Double Faults per Service Game

—

0.10

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

64.1%

60.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.6%

69.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

54.8%

48.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.4%

29.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.0%

46.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.51

0.42

Double Faults per Service Game

0.22

0.38

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Alexander Rozin Anton Shepp

Break Points Saved %

—

60.0%

Break Points Converted %

—

100.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

62.1%

54.2%

Break Points Converted %

40.9%

38.5%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Alexander Rozin 0 – 0 Anton Shepp

Hard Winnipeg challenger · 2026-07-19

qualification - 1. round

Anton Shepp #494

Alexander Rozin #1050

6-4 3-6 6-2

4 Aces 9

2 Double Faults 3

72 Service Points 78

51 First Serve In 49

35 First Serve Won 36

14 Second Serve Won 19

2 Break Points Saved 7

5 Break Points Faced 8

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.4 Average Odds 2.5

Alexander Rozin vs Anton Shepp — Prediction