ATP tennis predict — Alexander Ritschard vs Sergi Perez Contri

Challenger Clay Sevilla challenger · qualification - 1. round 12:30

Predicted probability

Alexander Ritschard

Switzerland

68.47%

Sergi Perez Contri

Spain

31.53%

Average Odds

1.28 / 3.47

Market probability

73.05% / 26.95%

Why This Prediction?

Alexander Ritschard is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1621 vs 1492), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1622 vs 1484) and more wins on clay courts (14 vs 0).

Player Comparison

1620.7 Elo 1492.0

1621.7 Elo (surface) 1483.9

159 Wins (Challenger) 11

77 Wins (surface) 11

10 Last 15 form 7

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.155 Dominance ratio 1.068

638 Rank 462

32.4 Age 28.6

right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Alexander Ritschard

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

5 matches with market odds since 2026-07-19.

Sergi Perez Contri

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

1 matches with market odds since 2026-09-06.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Alexander Ritschard Sergi Perez Contri

1st Serve In %

60.7%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

64.1%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

41.1%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.6%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

42.3%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.22

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.44

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

59.2%

65.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.6%

63.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.6%

44.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

34.3%

38.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.4%

54.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.28

0.09

Double Faults per Service Game

0.29

0.53

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Alexander Ritschard Sergi Perez Contri

Break Points Saved %

53.0%

—

Break Points Converted %

38.1%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

59.1%

60.0%

Break Points Converted %

48.5%

39.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Alexander Ritschard 0 – 0 Sergi Perez Contri

Clay Sevilla challenger · 2026-09-06

qualification - 1. round

Alexander Ritschard #638

Sergi Perez Contri #462

6-7 6-4 6-4

1 Aces 1

6 Double Faults 7

119 Service Points 109

68 First Serve In 71

46 First Serve Won 44

22 Second Serve Won 17

9 Break Points Saved 7

13 Break Points Faced 13

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.3 Average Odds 3.5

Alexander Ritschard vs Sergi Perez Contri — Prediction