ATP tennis predict — Alexander Ritschard vs Sebastian Ofner

Challenger Clay Sevilla challenger · R16 18:00

Predicted probability

Alexander Ritschard

Switzerland

38.38%

Sebastian Ofner

Austria

61.62%

Average Odds

2.20 / 1.60

Market probability

42.11% / 57.89%

Why This Prediction?

Sebastian Ofner is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1797 vs 1711), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1805 vs 1763) and a stronger serve (61.6% vs 54.8% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1710.6 Elo 1797.5

1763.4 Elo (surface) 1805.1

162 Wins (Challenger) 183

80 Wins (surface) 98

10 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.044 Dominance ratio 0.917

638 Rank 125

32.5 Age 30.3

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Alexander Ritschard

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

5 matches with market odds since 2026-07-19.

Sebastian Ofner

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–6L · 14.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Alexander Ritschard Sebastian Ofner

1st Serve In %

60.7%

58.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

64.1%

72.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

41.1%

45.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.6%

25.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

42.3%

50.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.22

0.47

Double Faults per Service Game

0.44

0.33

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

59.2%

56.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.6%

69.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.6%

46.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

34.3%

31.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.4%

40.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.28

Double Faults per Service Game

0.29

0.38

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Alexander Ritschard Sebastian Ofner

Break Points Saved %

53.0%

62.3%

Break Points Converted %

38.1%

40.6%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

59.1%

55.4%

Break Points Converted %

48.5%

34.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Alexander Ritschard 0 – 0 Sebastian Ofner

Clay Sevilla challenger · 2026-09-09

R16

Sebastian Ofner #125

Alexander Ritschard #638

6-4 6-4

2 Aces 4

3 Double Faults 2

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

22 First Serve Won 23

11 Second Serve Won 18

1 Break Points Saved 3

4 Break Points Faced 4

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.6 Average Odds 2.2

Alexander Ritschard vs Sebastian Ofner — Prediction