ATP tennis predict — Alexander Ritschard vs Norbert Gombos

Challenger Clay Zug challenger · qualification - 1. round

Predicted probability

Alexander Ritschard

Switzerland

39.45%

Norbert Gombos

Slovakia

60.55%

Average Odds

2.15 / 1.54

Market probability

41.73% / 58.27%

Why This Prediction?

Norbert Gombos is the favorite because he has a stronger serve (68.6% vs 54.8% of service points won), a stronger return game (38.3% vs 32.7% of return points won) and more career match wins (318 vs 159).

Player Comparison

1626.4 Elo 1624.2

1627.6 Elo (surface) 1610.7

159 Wins (Challenger) 318

77 Wins (surface) 163

10 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.147 Dominance ratio 1.296

575 Rank 370

32.3 Age 35.9

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Alexander Ritschard

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

5 matches with market odds since 2026-07-19.

Norbert Gombos

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 8W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 12W–1L · 92.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–8L · 11.1%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

35 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Alexander Ritschard Norbert Gombos

1st Serve In %

60.7%

58.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

64.1%

73.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

41.1%

59.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.6%

28.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

42.3%

47.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.22

0.54

Double Faults per Service Game

0.44

0.27

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

59.2%

62.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.6%

75.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.6%

52.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

34.3%

31.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.4%

49.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.28

0.47

Double Faults per Service Game

0.29

0.17

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Alexander Ritschard Norbert Gombos

Break Points Saved %

53.0%

70.3%

Break Points Converted %

38.1%

50.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

59.1%

64.2%

Break Points Converted %

48.5%

50.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Alexander Ritschard 0 – 0 Norbert Gombos

Clay Zug challenger · 2026-07-19

qualification - 1. round

Norbert Gombos #366

Alexander Ritschard #583

2-6 7-6 7-5

11 Aces 8

8 Double Faults 3

96 Service Points 109

53 First Serve In 66

38 First Serve Won 48

24 Second Serve Won 21

2 Break Points Saved 8

5 Break Points Faced 12

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.5 Average Odds 2.1

Alexander Ritschard vs Norbert Gombos — Prediction