ATP tennis predict — Alexander Donski vs Nitin Kumar Sinha

Challenger Hard Grodzisk Mazowiecki challenger · qualification - round of 16

Predicted probability

Alexander Donski

Bulgaria

82.69%

Nitin Kumar Sinha

India

17.31%

Average Odds

1.10 / 5.64

Market probability

83.68% / 16.32%

Why This Prediction?

Alexander Donski is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1584 vs 1293), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1612 vs 1324) and a stronger serve (67.8% vs 56.6% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1584.2 Elo 1292.6

1611.9 Elo (surface) 1324.1

39 Wins (Challenger) 9

16 Wins (surface) 7

10 Last 15 form 5

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.193 Dominance ratio 0.796

538 Rank 890

28.0 Age 27.4

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Alexander Donski

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–1L · 83.3%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 6W–4L · 60.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

23 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Nitin Kumar Sinha

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

6 matches with market odds since 2026-06-07.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Alexander Donski Nitin Kumar Sinha

1st Serve In %

55.0%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

71.9%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

39.2%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

20.8%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

40.3%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.81

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.34

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

58.7%

61.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

73.7%

64.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

54.3%

47.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

24.8%

27.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.6%

48.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.55

0.21

Double Faults per Service Game

0.21

0.22

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Alexander Donski Nitin Kumar Sinha

Break Points Saved %

55.0%

—

Break Points Converted %

20.0%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

68.3%

51.7%

Break Points Converted %

36.1%

40.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Alexander Donski 0 – 0 Nitin Kumar Sinha

Hard Grodzisk Mazowiecki challenger · 2026-08-03

qualification - round of 16

Alexander Donski #551

Nitin Kumar Sinha #880

6-3 6-4

7 Aces 1

2 Double Faults 2

70 Service Points 53

39 First Serve In 35

30 First Serve Won 24

18 Second Serve Won 8

3 Break Points Saved 1

3 Break Points Faced 3

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.1 Average Odds 5.6

Alexander Donski vs Nitin Kumar Sinha — Prediction