ATP tennis predict — Alexander Donski vs Kenny De Schepper

Challenger Hard Grodzisk Mazowiecki challenger · qualification - 1. round

Predicted probability

Alexander Donski

Bulgaria

65.05%

Kenny De Schepper

France

34.95%

Average Odds

1.40 / 2.76

Market probability

66.35% / 33.65%

Why This Prediction?

Alexander Donski is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1587 vs 1543), more aces per game (0.40 vs 0.23) and a stronger return game (36.6% vs 35.5% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1566.3 Elo 1521.8

1587.2 Elo (surface) 1542.5

38 Wins (Challenger) 242

15 Wins (surface) 178

10 Last 15 form 6

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.156 Dominance ratio 0.971

538 Rank 949

28.0 Age 39.2

right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Alexander Donski

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–1L · 83.3%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 6W–4L · 60.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

23 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Kenny De Schepper

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

6 matches with market odds since 2026-06-07.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Alexander Donski Kenny De Schepper

1st Serve In %

55.0%

71.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.9%

67.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

39.2%

53.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

20.8%

28.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

40.3%

44.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.81

0.62

Double Faults per Service Game

0.34

0.21

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

58.7%

67.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

73.7%

69.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

54.3%

50.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

24.8%

28.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.6%

47.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.55

0.46

Double Faults per Service Game

0.21

0.19

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Alexander Donski Kenny De Schepper

Break Points Saved %

55.0%

62.8%

Break Points Converted %

20.0%

33.8%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

68.3%

59.7%

Break Points Converted %

36.1%

51.1%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Alexander Donski 0 – 0 Kenny De Schepper

Hard Grodzisk Mazowiecki challenger · 2026-08-02

qualification - 1. round

Alexander Donski #538

Kenny De Schepper #949

2-6 6-4 7-6

7 Aces 5

4 Double Faults 1

115 Service Points 97

68 First Serve In 67

49 First Serve Won 43

20 Second Serve Won 18

2 Break Points Saved 3

5 Break Points Faced 5

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.4 Average Odds 2.8

Alexander Donski vs Kenny De Schepper — Prediction