ATP tennis predict — Alexander Donski vs Daniil Glinka

Challenger Hard Grodzisk Mazowiecki challenger · QF 12:00

Predicted probability

Alexander Donski

Bulgaria

48.83%

Daniil Glinka

Estonia

51.17%

Average Odds

2.59 / 1.45

Market probability

35.89% / 64.11%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1625.3 Elo 1605.7

1664.9 Elo (surface) 1640.9

42 Wins (Challenger) 74

19 Wins (surface) 68

10 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.199 Dominance ratio 1.198

551 Rank 166

28.0 Age 26.2

right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Alexander Donski

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–1L · 83.3%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 6W–4L · 60.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

23 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Daniil Glinka

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 8W–3L · 72.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

25 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Alexander Donski Daniil Glinka

1st Serve In %

55.0%

61.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.9%

71.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

39.2%

47.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

20.8%

23.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

40.3%

44.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.81

0.50

Double Faults per Service Game

0.34

0.32

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

58.7%

65.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

73.7%

68.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

54.3%

51.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

24.8%

35.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.55

0.38

Double Faults per Service Game

0.21

0.22

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Alexander Donski Daniil Glinka

Break Points Saved %

55.0%

60.0%

Break Points Converted %

20.0%

42.9%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

68.3%

54.2%

Break Points Converted %

36.1%

41.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Alexander Donski 0 – 0 Daniil Glinka

Hard Grodzisk Mazowiecki challenger · 2026-08-07

QF

Daniil Glinka #166

Alexander Donski #551

7-6 6-4

13 Aces 8

5 Double Faults 1

60 Service Points 70

38 First Serve In 47

37 First Serve Won 37

8 Second Serve Won 13

1 Break Points Saved 5

2 Break Points Faced 5

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.4 Average Odds 2.6

Alexander Donski vs Daniil Glinka — Prediction