ATP tennis predict — Alexander Bublik vs Quentin Halys

ATP Clay Gstaad · R16

Predicted probability

Alexander Bublik

Kazakhstan

67.71%

Quentin Halys

France

32.29%

Average Odds

1.44 / 2.75

Market probability

65.63% / 34.37%

Why This Prediction?

Alexander Bublik is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1866 vs 1695), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1761 vs 1742) and a stronger return game (40.9% vs 36.6% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1865.5 Elo 1695.2

1760.9 Elo (surface) 1742.3

250 Wins 135

48 Wins (surface) 26

8 Last 15 form 6

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.879 Dominance ratio 0.927

11 Rank 90

29.1 Age 29.7

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Alexander Bublik

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–3L · 62.5%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

14 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Quentin Halys

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 7W–4L · 63.6%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 7W–2L · 77.8%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

24 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Alexander Bublik Quentin Halys

1st Serve In %

62.8%

57.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

80.8%

77.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

56.7%

48.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

24.7%

22.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.6%

47.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.84

0.74

Double Faults per Service Game

0.30

0.33

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.7%

63.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

77.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.8%

51.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.6%

25.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.5%

47.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.96

0.66

Double Faults per Service Game

0.37

0.27

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Alexander Bublik Quentin Halys

Break Points Saved %

76.2%

72.5%

Break Points Converted %

42.1%

36.8%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

57.4%

73.6%

Break Points Converted %

50.7%

33.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Alexander Bublik 0 – 0 Quentin Halys

Clay Kitzbühel · 2026-07-25

F

Quentin Halys #83

Alexander Bublik #11

6-4 7-6

6 Aces 17

1 Double Faults 3

85 Service Points 65

59 First Serve In 38

39 First Serve Won 33

16 Second Serve Won 18

5 Break Points Saved 0

6 Break Points Faced 0

23 Winners 45

17 Unforced Errors 30

2.8 Average Odds 1.4

Clay Gstaad · 2026-07-17

R16

Quentin Halys #90

Alexander Bublik #11

6-7 6-4 7-6

13 Aces 14

6 Double Faults 5

107 Service Points 101

67 First Serve In 52

54 First Serve Won 47

26 Second Serve Won 32

6 Break Points Saved 2

7 Break Points Faced 2

45 Winners 49

32 Unforced Errors 30