ATP tennis predict — Alexander Bublik vs J J Wolf

Grand Slam Hard US Open · 1. round 03:30

Predicted probability

Alexander Bublik

Kazakhstan

50.96%

J J Wolf

USA

49.04%

Average Odds

1.41 / 2.96

Market probability

67.73% / 32.27%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1859.1 Elo 1734.3

1726.3 Elo (surface) 1772.2

253 Wins 76

150 Wins (surface) 62

9 Last 15 form 7

1 Head-to-head wins 2

1.001 Dominance ratio 1.023

16 Rank 253

29.2 Age 27.7

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Alexander Bublik

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–3L · 62.5%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

14 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

J J Wolf

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–5L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

20 matches with market odds since 2026-06-30.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Alexander Bublik J J Wolf

1st Serve In %

62.8%

54.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

80.8%

71.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

56.7%

50.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

24.7%

27.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.6%

53.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.84

0.52

Double Faults per Service Game

0.30

0.28

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.7%

59.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

77.4%

72.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.8%

51.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.6%

22.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.5%

50.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.96

0.55

Double Faults per Service Game

0.37

0.19

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Alexander Bublik J J Wolf

Break Points Saved %

76.2%

53.3%

Break Points Converted %

42.1%

36.8%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

57.4%

55.7%

Break Points Converted %

50.7%

32.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Alexander Bublik 1 – 2 J J Wolf

Hard US Open · 2026-08-31

1. round

Alexander Bublik #16

J J Wolf #253

6-4 6-2 3-6 6-1

18 Aces 4

10 Double Faults 3

90 Service Points 93

51 First Serve In 45

41 First Serve Won 32

22 Second Serve Won 19

5 Break Points Saved 1

8 Break Points Faced 8

38 Winners 25

28 Unforced Errors 29

1.4 Average Odds 3.0

Grass Wimbledon · 2023-07-03

R64

Alexander Bublik #26

J J Wolf #48

6-3 7-6(5) 6-0

11 Aces 4

6 Double Faults 5

74 Service Points 90

49 First Serve In 53

45 First Serve Won 37

12 Second Serve Won 14

0 Break Points Saved 4

1 Break Points Faced 9

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Hard Miami Masters · 2023-03-20

R128

J J Wolf #50

Alexander Bublik #48

7-5 6-3

4 Aces 9

2 Double Faults 2

61 Service Points 51

38 First Serve In 31

31 First Serve Won 22

10 Second Serve Won 6

2 Break Points Saved 2

4 Break Points Faced 6

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Hard Florence · 2022-10-10

QF

J J Wolf #75

Alexander Bublik #43

3-6 7-5 6-1

10 Aces 19

1 Double Faults 15

82 Service Points 103

53 First Serve In 60

37 First Serve Won 46

19 Second Serve Won 13

4 Break Points Saved 11

6 Break Points Faced 15

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Alexander Bublik vs J J Wolf — Prediction

Why This Prediction?

Player Comparison

Performance vs. the Odds

Serve & Return

Break Point Performance

Head-to-Head

Alexander Bublik — Last 10

J J Wolf — Last 10