ATP tennis predict — Alexander Blockx vs Tomas Barrios Vera

Grand Slam Hard US Open · 1. round 21:00

Predicted probability

Alexander Blockx

Belgium

45.73%

Tomas Barrios Vera

Chile

54.27%

Average Odds

1.20 / 4.68

Market probability

79.59% / 20.41%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1719.7 Elo 1683.6

1538.7 Elo (surface) 1620.7

41 Wins 53

20 Wins (surface) 15

8 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.041 Dominance ratio 0.810

34 Rank 144

21.4 Age 28.7

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Alexander Blockx

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–3L · 57.1%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Tomas Barrios Vera

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

13 matches with market odds since 2026-06-08.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Alexander Blockx Tomas Barrios Vera

1st Serve In %

56.0%

65.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

77.9%

64.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.3%

49.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.9%

27.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.6%

41.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.65

0.31

Double Faults per Service Game

0.30

0.15

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

59.8%

63.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

75.9%

64.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.1%

54.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

35.8%

36.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

44.0%

46.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.59

0.26

Double Faults per Service Game

0.10

0.13

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Alexander Blockx Tomas Barrios Vera

Break Points Saved %

59.4%

60.5%

Break Points Converted %

38.8%

35.8%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

61.0%

62.3%

Break Points Converted %

35.2%

42.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Alexander Blockx 0 – 0 Tomas Barrios Vera

Hard US Open · 2026-08-31

1. round

Alexander Blockx #34

Tomas Barrios Vera #144

6-3 6-4 6-2

10 Aces 3

3 Double Faults 3

80 Service Points 83

48 First Serve In 55

40 First Serve Won 36

20 Second Serve Won 16

5 Break Points Saved 4

5 Break Points Faced 8

34 Winners 16

11 Unforced Errors 22

1.2 Average Odds 4.7

Alexander Blockx vs Tomas Barrios Vera — Prediction