ATP tennis predict — Alexander Blockx vs Mariano Navone

ATP Hard Cincinnati · 2. round 17:00

Predicted probability

Alexander Blockx

Belgium

49.87%

Mariano Navone

Argentina

50.13%

Average Odds

1.69 / 2.16

Market probability

56.10% / 43.90%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1713.5 Elo 1797.5

1534.6 Elo (surface) 1541.2

40 Wins 65

19 Wins (surface) 13

9 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 1

1.071 Dominance ratio 0.942

32 Rank 44

21.4 Age 25.5

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Alexander Blockx

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–3L · 57.1%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Mariano Navone

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–3L · 57.1%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Alexander Blockx Mariano Navone

1st Serve In %

56.0%

63.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

77.9%

72.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.3%

54.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.9%

30.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.6%

45.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.65

0.38

Double Faults per Service Game

0.30

0.21

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

59.8%

70.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

75.9%

62.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.1%

56.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

35.8%

37.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

44.0%

49.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.59

0.05

Double Faults per Service Game

0.10

0.13

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Alexander Blockx Mariano Navone

Break Points Saved %

59.4%

56.9%

Break Points Converted %

38.8%

28.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

61.0%

54.4%

Break Points Converted %

35.2%

50.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Alexander Blockx 0 – 1 Mariano Navone

Hard Cincinnati · 2026-08-15

2. round

Alexander Blockx #32

Mariano Navone #44

6-3 6-4

11 Aces 0

2 Double Faults 2

60 Service Points 56

37 First Serve In 38

32 First Serve Won 25

11 Second Serve Won 11

2 Break Points Saved 4

2 Break Points Faced 6

22 Winners 5

34 Unforced Errors 19

1.7 Average Odds 2.2

Hard Cap Cana CH · 2026-03-10

SF

Mariano Navone #79

Alexander Blockx #97

3-6 6-3 7-6(3)

0 Aces 6

1 Double Faults 1

115 Service Points 91

88 First Serve In 46

56 First Serve Won 34

15 Second Serve Won 22

4 Break Points Saved 0

7 Break Points Faced 3

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Alexander Blockx vs Mariano Navone — Prediction