ATP tennis predict — Alexander Blockx vs Marco Trungelliti

Grand Slam Hard US Open · 2. round 19:00

Predicted probability

Alexander Blockx

Belgium

65.31%

Marco Trungelliti

Argentina

34.69%

Average Odds

1.17 / 5.12

Market probability

81.40% / 18.60%

Why This Prediction?

Alexander Blockx is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1735 vs 1689), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1562 vs 1555) and a stronger serve (63.5% vs 58.1% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1734.7 Elo 1689.4

1561.9 Elo (surface) 1554.7

42 Wins 132

21 Wins (surface) 49

9 Last 15 form 7

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.005 Dominance ratio 0.955

34 Rank 83

21.4 Age 36.6

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Alexander Blockx

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–3L · 57.1%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Marco Trungelliti

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–5L · 28.6%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 5W–3L · 62.5%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

25 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Alexander Blockx Marco Trungelliti

1st Serve In %

56.0%

56.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

77.9%

71.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.3%

44.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.9%

31.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.6%

49.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.65

0.46

Double Faults per Service Game

0.30

0.44

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

59.8%

66.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

75.9%

68.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.1%

57.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

35.8%

38.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

44.0%

52.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.59

0.31

Double Faults per Service Game

0.10

0.28

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Alexander Blockx Marco Trungelliti

Break Points Saved %

59.4%

61.5%

Break Points Converted %

38.8%

42.9%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

61.0%

63.8%

Break Points Converted %

35.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Alexander Blockx 0 – 0 Marco Trungelliti

Hard US Open · 2026-09-03

2. round

Alexander Blockx #34

Marco Trungelliti #83

6-3 6-2 3-6 6-1

17 Aces 5

7 Double Faults 12

102 Service Points 110

52 First Serve In 59

46 First Serve Won 39

27 Second Serve Won 22

3 Break Points Saved 7

4 Break Points Faced 12

41 Winners 33

30 Unforced Errors 46

1.2 Average Odds 5.1

Alexander Blockx vs Marco Trungelliti — Prediction