ATP tennis predict — Alexander Blockx vs Flavio Cobolli

Grand Slam Hard US Open · 3. round 18:30

Predicted probability

Alexander Blockx

Belgium

35.02%

Flavio Cobolli

Italy

64.98%

Average Odds

1.93 / 1.87

Market probability

49.21% / 50.79%

Why This Prediction?

Flavio Cobolli is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1703 vs 1580), a higher Elo rating (1835 vs 1749) and more career match wins (103 vs 74).

Player Comparison

1749.2 Elo 1834.8

1580.2 Elo (surface) 1702.7

43 Wins 136

22 Wins (surface) 69

9 Last 15 form 10

1 Head-to-head wins 1

1.028 Dominance ratio 1.037

34 Rank 6

21.4 Age 24.3

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Alexander Blockx

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–3L · 57.1%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Flavio Cobolli

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–3L · 62.5%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Alexander Blockx Flavio Cobolli

1st Serve In %

56.0%

58.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

77.9%

69.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.3%

47.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.9%

28.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.6%

45.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.65

0.43

Double Faults per Service Game

0.30

0.25

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

59.8%

52.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

75.9%

67.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.1%

51.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

35.8%

30.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

44.0%

48.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.59

0.45

Double Faults per Service Game

0.10

0.30

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Alexander Blockx Flavio Cobolli

Break Points Saved %

59.4%

59.6%

Break Points Converted %

38.8%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

61.0%

67.5%

Break Points Converted %

35.2%

32.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Alexander Blockx 1 – 1 Flavio Cobolli

Hard US Open · 2026-09-05

3. round

Alexander Blockx #34

Flavio Cobolli #6

6-7 6-3 6-0 6-3

17 Aces 5

4 Double Faults 5

98 Service Points 129

56 First Serve In 74

48 First Serve Won 44

26 Second Serve Won 23

5 Break Points Saved 13

7 Break Points Faced 21

41 Winners 26

30 Unforced Errors 46

1.9 Average Odds 1.9

Hard Cincinnati · 2026-08-17

3. round

Flavio Cobolli #10

Alexander Blockx #32

7-5 4-6 7-5

10 Aces 3

7 Double Faults 1

107 Service Points 108

55 First Serve In 65

43 First Serve Won 45

23 Second Serve Won 25

5 Break Points Saved 5

9 Break Points Faced 8

29 Winners 31

30 Unforced Errors 31

2.0 Average Odds 1.8

Clay Monte Carlo Masters · 2026-04-05

R32

Alexander Blockx #91

Flavio Cobolli #16

6-3 6-3

4 Aces 1

1 Double Faults 0

60 Service Points 52

41 First Serve In 31

26 First Serve Won 23

15 Second Serve Won 8

5 Break Points Saved 4

5 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Alexander Blockx vs Flavio Cobolli — Prediction