ATP tennis predict — Alex Rybakov vs Oliver Bonding

Challenger Hard Roehampton 2 challenger · qualification - 1. round 12:00

Predicted probability

Alex Rybakov

USA

87.64%

Oliver Bonding

Great Britain

12.36%

Average Odds

1.53 / 2.36

Market probability

60.67% / 39.33%

Why This Prediction?

Alex Rybakov is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1522 vs 1306), more career match wins (120 vs 0) and a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1485 vs 1420).

Player Comparison

1521.8 Elo 1305.7

1485.3 Elo (surface) 1420.4

120 Wins (Challenger) 0

73 Wins (surface) 0

7 Last 15 form 0

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.078 Dominance ratio 0.797

507 Rank 925

29.6 Age None

left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Alex Rybakov

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

8 matches with market odds since 2026-07-05.

Oliver Bonding

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

7 matches with market odds since 2026-06-22.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Alex Rybakov Oliver Bonding

1st Serve In %

69.1%

60.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.8%

75.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.1%

50.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.6%

27.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

43.6%

40.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.50

0.69

Double Faults per Service Game

0.29

0.33

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

62.0%

59.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.5%

67.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

55.9%

50.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

37.4%

29.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.7%

38.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.41

0.42

Double Faults per Service Game

0.26

0.29

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Alex Rybakov Oliver Bonding

Break Points Saved %

58.5%

56.2%

Break Points Converted %

43.2%

15.8%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

71.1%

60.3%

Break Points Converted %

30.0%

43.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Alex Rybakov 0 – 0 Oliver Bonding

Hard Roehampton 2 challenger · 2026-08-23

qualification - 1. round

Oliver Bonding #925

Alex Rybakov #507

5-7 6-4 6-3

5 Aces 5

4 Double Faults 4

103 Service Points 89

76 First Serve In 54

48 First Serve Won 39

14 Second Serve Won 21

10 Break Points Saved 3

14 Break Points Faced 5

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.4 Average Odds 1.5

Alex Rybakov vs Oliver Bonding — Prediction