ATP tennis predict — Alex Rybakov vs Charles Broom

Challenger Hard Roehampton challenger · R16 12:00

Predicted probability

Alex Rybakov

USA

45.63%

Charles Broom

Great Britain

54.37%

Average Odds

3.92 / 1.22

Market probability

23.74% / 76.26%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1534.2 Elo 1567.2

1497.6 Elo (surface) 1584.4

120 Wins (Challenger) 72

73 Wins (surface) 53

7 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.017 Dominance ratio 0.774

507 Rank 289

29.6 Age 28.3

left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Alex Rybakov

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

8 matches with market odds since 2026-07-05.

Charles Broom

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 6W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

20 matches with market odds since 2026-05-31.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Alex Rybakov Charles Broom

1st Serve In %

69.1%

62.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.8%

66.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.1%

44.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.6%

29.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

43.6%

50.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.50

0.38

Double Faults per Service Game

0.29

0.31

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

62.0%

64.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.5%

66.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

55.9%

54.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

37.4%

29.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.7%

47.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.41

0.49

Double Faults per Service Game

0.26

0.20

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Alex Rybakov Charles Broom

Break Points Saved %

58.5%

60.2%

Break Points Converted %

43.2%

32.5%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

71.1%

63.9%

Break Points Converted %

30.0%

28.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Alex Rybakov 0 – 0 Charles Broom

Hard Roehampton challenger · 2026-08-19

R16

Charles Broom #289

Alex Rybakov #507

7-5 6-3

4 Aces 0

1 Double Faults 4

80 Service Points 80

66 First Serve In 49

44 First Serve Won 34

4 Second Serve Won 18

7 Break Points Saved 10

10 Break Points Faced 10

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.2 Average Odds 3.9

Alex Rybakov vs Charles Broom — Prediction