ATP tennis predict — Alex Molcan vs Vit Kopriva

ATP Hard Beijing · qualification - round of 16 08:45

Predicted probability

Alex Molcan

Slovakia

53.98%

Vit Kopriva

Czech Republic

46.02%

Average Odds

1.62 / 2.21

Market probability

57.70% / 42.30%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1870.6 Elo 1821.2

1679.7 Elo (surface) 1748.4

90 Wins 70

31 Wins (surface) 22

10 Last 15 form 5

1 Head-to-head wins 0

1.047 Dominance ratio 0.967

96 Rank 68

28.8 Age 29.3

left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Alex Molcan

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–1L · 85.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

20 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Vit Kopriva

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–6L · 14.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

19 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Alex Molcan Vit Kopriva

1st Serve In %

62.7%

59.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.5%

69.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.8%

51.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.9%

25.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.9%

52.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.36

0.53

Double Faults per Service Game

0.18

0.27

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.8%

60.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.6%

67.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.1%

53.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

34.9%

33.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

58.8%

50.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.33

0.43

Double Faults per Service Game

0.17

0.30

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Alex Molcan Vit Kopriva

Break Points Saved %

60.3%

59.6%

Break Points Converted %

38.7%

51.7%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

64.5%

63.9%

Break Points Converted %

52.5%

38.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Alex Molcan 1 – 0 Vit Kopriva

Clay Sibiu CH · 2021-09-27

R16

Alex Molcan #119

Vit Kopriva #197

1-6 6-0 6-4

0 Aces 1

1 Double Faults 6

59 Service Points 79

38 First Serve In 37

22 First Serve Won 20

13 Second Serve Won 17

2 Break Points Saved 4

7 Break Points Faced 10

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Alex Molcan vs Vit Kopriva — Prediction