ATP tennis predict — Alex Molcan vs Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva

Challenger Clay Tulln challenger · 1. round 14:30

Predicted probability

Alex Molcan

Slovakia

76.12%

Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva

Brazil

23.88%

Average Odds

1.17 / 4.62

Market probability

79.79% / 20.21%

Why This Prediction?

Alex Molcan is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1801 vs 1575), a higher Elo rating (1757 vs 1558) and a stronger return game (44.1% vs 34.2% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1756.9 Elo 1558.4

1801.1 Elo (surface) 1575.5

145 Wins (Challenger) 129

100 Wins (surface) 121

9 Last 15 form 6

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.177 Dominance ratio 0.907

86 Rank 282

28.8 Age 26.4

left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Alex Molcan

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–1L · 85.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

20 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–6L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Alex Molcan Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva

1st Serve In %

62.7%

62.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.5%

63.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.8%

44.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.9%

22.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.9%

48.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.36

0.21

Double Faults per Service Game

0.18

0.16

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.8%

60.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.6%

61.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.1%

50.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

34.9%

29.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

58.8%

50.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.33

0.29

Double Faults per Service Game

0.17

0.07

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Alex Molcan Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva

Break Points Saved %

60.3%

48.3%

Break Points Converted %

38.7%

31.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

64.5%

54.5%

Break Points Converted %

52.5%

46.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Alex Molcan 0 – 0 Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva

Clay Tulln challenger · 2026-09-08

1. round

Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva #282

Alex Molcan #86

6-1 6-4

4 Aces 5

1 Double Faults 2

42 Service Points 68

23 First Serve In 38

13 First Serve Won 27

8 Second Serve Won 16

0 Break Points Saved 5

4 Break Points Faced 6

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

4.6 Average Odds 1.2

Alex Molcan vs Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva — Prediction